Earthquake records in the historical literature provide valuable information on the seismic hazard potentials for long recurrence times. The Seoul metropolitan area is the center of the economy and infrastructure in South Korea. Six major earthquakes that occurred around the Seoul metropolitan area during the Joseon dynasty in 1392–1910 are analyzed using a probabilistic joint inversion method based on seismic damage records and earthquake-felt reports. The inversion yields sets of event locations and magnitudes with probabilities. The joint inversion method is validated with synthetic and instrumentally observed data sets. The historical earthquakes are found to be located around the Seoul metropolitan area. The magnitudes of the earthquakes range from ML 5.3 to 6.8 at the peak probabilistic locations. These historical earthquakes suggest considerable seismic hazard potentials in the Seoul metropolitan area.

中文翻译：

---

朝鲜王朝时期（1392-1910）首尔都市区的六大历史地震

历史文献中的地震记录提供了有关长时间重复发生的潜在地震危险性的宝贵信息。首尔都市区是韩国经济和基础设施的中心。使用基于地震破坏记录和地震感报告的概率联合反演方法分析了 1392 年至 1910 年朝鲜王朝期间首尔都市区周围发生的六次大地震。反演产生具有概率的事件位置和幅度集。联合反演方法通过合成和仪器观测数据集进行验证。历史上的地震被发现位于首尔市区周围。在概率峰值位置，地震的震级范围从 ML 5.3 到 6.8。