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Sighting patterns reveal unobserved pupping events to revise reproductive rate estimates for Hawaiian monk seals in the main Hawaiian Islands
Marine Mammal Science ( IF 2.0 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-23 , DOI: 10.1111/mms.12761
Stacie J. Robinson 1 , Albert L. Harting 2 , Tracy Mercer 3 , Thea C. Johanos 1 , Jason D. Baker 1 , Charles L. Littnan 1
Affiliation  

We used sighting reports, including decades of citizen‐reported Hawaiian monk seal (Neomonachus schauinslandi) sightings, to describe female breeding biology and reproductive success in the main Hawaiian Islands. We first used this data set to describe the timing of events in the female reproductive cycle. We then conducted an expert review of patterns in sighting histories to detect unobserved pupping events. Finally, we estimated the age‐specific reproductive curve for female monk seals in the main Hawaiian Islands. Charting reproductive cycles showed indications of the robust condition of female monk seals in the main Hawaiian Islands; they nursed pups 12% longer than their counterparts in the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands and regained condition to molt more quickly after weaning a pup. By examining sighting histories, we were able to infer 25 unobserved pupping events that had previously gone uncounted. We accounted for additional uncertainty with a randomization procedure. After accounting for unobserved pupping events, the age‐specific reproductive rate of main Hawaiian Islands monk seals exceeded 0.70 for prime aged females (8–18 years). This is the highest reproductive rate reported for any of the Hawaiian monk seal breeding sites, illustrating the important role of the main Hawaiian Islands population in Hawaiian monk seal recovery.

中文翻译:

目击模式揭示了未观察到的幼崽事件,以修改夏威夷主要群岛上夏威夷和尚海豹的生殖率估计值

我们使用了目击报告,包括数十年来公民举报的夏威夷和尚海豹(Neomonachus schauinslandi)目击事件,以描述夏威夷主要岛屿上的雌性繁殖生物学和生殖成功。我们首先使用该数据集来描述女性生殖周期中事件的发生时间。然后,我们对观察历史中的模式进行了专家审查,以发现未观察到的小便事件。最后,我们估算了夏威夷主岛上和尚海豹的特定年龄繁殖曲线。绘制生殖周期图表明,在夏威夷的主要岛屿上,僧侣海豹的生活状况良好。他们给幼崽的哺乳时间比西北夏威夷群岛的幼崽长12%,并且在断奶幼崽后恢复了更快蜕皮的状态。通过查看目击历史,我们可以推断出25例以前未被计数的未观察到的小便事件。我们用随机化程序解决了额外的不确定性。考虑到未观察到的小便事件后,夏威夷群岛主要和尚海豹的按年龄分列的生殖率对于年龄较大的女性(8-18岁)超过0.70。这是任何夏威夷和尚海豹繁殖地报告的最高繁殖率,这说明夏威夷主要海豹种群在夏威夷和尚海豹恢复中的重要作用。
更新日期:2020-11-23
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