Wind-generated ocean waves are key inputs for several studies and applications, both near the coast (coastal vulnerability assessment, coastal structures design, harbor operativity) and off-shore (a.o. oil and gas production, ship routes, and navigation safety). As such, the evaluation of trends in future wave climate is fundamental for the development of efficient policies in the framework of climate change adaptation and mitigation measures. This study focuses on the Mediterranean Sea, an area of primary interest, since it plays a crucial role in the worldwide maritime transport and it is highly populated along all its coasts. We perform an analysis of wave climate changes using an ensemble of 7 models under emission scenario RCP8.5, over the entire Mediterranean basin. Future projections of wave climate and their variability are analyzed taking into account annual statistics of wave parameters, such as significant wave height, mean period, and mean direction. The results show, on average, a decreasing trend of significant wave height and mean period, while the wave directions may be characterized by a slight eastward shift.

风力产生的海浪是海岸附近（沿海脆弱性评估，海岸结构设计，港口可操作性）和近海（石油和天然气生产，船舶路线和航行安全）等多项研究和应用的关键输入。因此，对未来海浪气候趋势的评估对于在气候变化适应和缓解措施框架内制定有效政策至关重要。这项研究的重点是地中海，它是人们最感兴趣的领域，因为它在全球海上运输中起着至关重要的作用，并且沿海人口众多。我们在整个地中海流域使用RCP8.5排放情景下的7种模型进行了海浪气候变化的分析。考虑到波浪参数的年度统计数据（例如重要的波浪高度，平均周期和平均方向），对海浪气候及其变化的未来预测进行了分析。结果表明，平均而言，显着的波高和平均周期呈下降趋势，而波的方向可能以轻微的东移为特征。