Abstract The paper proposes and estimates an urban growth model to look at the evolution of the cities of the United States of America from 1790 to 2010. The two questions explored are, first, are there permanent territorial factors that influence the relative size of cities and, second, what role do urban development policies play? To answer these questions, the paper presents a formulation of a city growth model based on economic growth model that relates city size with human, economic, spatial and historical explanatory variables. The model, estimated for 1000-clustered cities of the US, shows that, on the one hand, the adaptation of the economic growth model to a city growth model with spatial interaction variables explain the differentiated evolution of cities and, on the other hand, policies that do not take into consideration the permanent features of the territory can disturb urban sustainability.

中文翻译：

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城市增长模型。申请美国城市

摘要 本文提出并估计了一个城市增长模型，以观察 1790 年至 2010 年美国城市的演变。所探讨的两个问题是，第一，是否存在影响城市相对规模的永久性领土因素？第二，城市发展政策的作用是什么？为了回答这些问题，本文提出了一种基于经济增长模型的城市增长模型，该模型将城市规模与人类、经济、空间和历史解释变量联系起来。该模型对美国 1000 个集群城市进行估算，表明一方面经济增长模型对具有空间交互变量的城市增长模型的适应性解释了城市的差异化演化，另一方面，