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Behavioral Economics for Human-in-the-Loop Control Systems Design: Overconfidence and the Hot Hand Fallacy
IEEE Control Systems ( IF 5.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-16 , DOI: 10.1109/mcs.2020.3019723
Marius Protte , Rene Fahr , Daniel E. Quevedo

This century brought interesting challenges and opportunities that derive from the way digital technology is shaping the lives of individuals and society as a whole. A key feature of many engineered systems is that they interact with humans. Rather than solely affecting humans, people often make decisions that affect the engineered system. As an example, when driving cars, people often decide to take a route that differs from that suggested by the navigation system. This information is fed back to the service provider and henceforth used when making route suggestions to other users. The analysis and design of such cyberphysical human systems (CPHSs) would benefit from an understanding of how humans behave. However, given their immense complexity, it is unclear how to formulate appropriate models for human decision makers, especially when operating in closed-loop systems (see "Summary" for an overview of this article).

中文翻译:

人在回路控制系统设计的行为经济学:过度自信和热手谬误

本世纪带来了有趣的挑战和机遇,这些挑战和机遇源于数字技术塑造个人和整个社会生活的方式。许多工程系统的关键特征是它们与人互动。人们通常会做出影响工程系统的决策,而不是仅仅影响人类。例如,在驾驶汽车时,人们常常决定采用与导航系统建议的路线不同的路线。此信息将反馈给服务提供商,并在以后向其他用户提出路线建议时使用。此类网络物理人类系统(CPHS)的分析和设计将受益于对人类行为的理解。但是,鉴于它们的复杂性,目前尚不清楚如何为人类决策者制定适当的模型,
更新日期:2020-11-17
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