当前位置: X-MOL 学术Clim. Risk Manag. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Weathering adaptation: Grid infrastructure planning in a changing climate
Climate Risk Management ( IF 4.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-17 , DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100256
Anna M. Brockway , Laurel N. Dunn

Decisions related to electric power systems planning and operations rely on assumptions and insights informed by historic weather data and records of past performance. Evolving climate trends are, however, changing the energy use patterns and operating conditions of grid assets, thus altering the nature and severity of risks the system faces. Because grid assets remain in operation for decades, planning for evolving risks will require incorporating climate projections into grid infrastructure planning processes. The current work traces a pathway for climate-aware decision-making in the electricity sector. We evaluate the suitability of using existing climate models and data for electricity planning and discuss their limitations. We review the interactions between grid infrastructure and climate by synthesizing what is known about how changing environmental operating conditions would impact infrastructure utilization, constraints, and performance. We contextualize our findings by presenting a case study of California, examining if and where climate data can be integrated into infrastructure planning processes. The core contribution of the work is a series of nine recommendations detailing advancements in climate projections, grid modeling architecture, and disaster preparedness that would be needed to ensure that infrastructure planning decisions are robust to uncertainty and risks associated with evolving climate conditions.



中文翻译:

风化适应:气候变化中的电网基础设施规划

与电力系统规划和运营有关的决策依赖于历史天气数据和过往表现记录所依据的假设和见解。但是,不断变化的气候趋势正在改变电网资产的能源使用方式和运行条件,从而改变了系统面临的风险的性质和严重性。由于网格资产仍在运行数十年,因此应对不断变化的风险进行规划需要将气候预测纳入网格基础设施规划流程中。当前的工作为电力部门的气候意识决策制定了一条途径。我们评估使用现有气候模型和数据进行电力规划的适用性,并讨论其局限性。我们通过综合了解不断变化的环境运行条件将如何影响基础架构利用率,约束和性能,来回顾网格基础架构与气候之间的相互作用。我们通过介绍加利福尼亚的案例研究,结合我们的发现,检查气候数据是否以及在何处可以集成到基础设施规划流程中。这项工作的核心贡献是一系列九项建议,详细介绍了气候预测,网格建模架构和备灾方面的进展,以确保基础设施规划决策能够应对气候变化带来的不确定性和风险。我们通过介绍加利福尼亚的案例研究,结合我们的发现,检查气候数据是否以及在何处可以集成到基础设施规划流程中。这项工作的核心贡献是一系列九项建议,详细介绍了气候预测,网格建模架构和备灾方面的进展,以确保基础设施规划决策能够应对气候变化带来的不确定性和风险。我们通过介绍加利福尼亚的案例研究,结合我们的发现,检查气候数据是否以及在何处可以集成到基础设施规划流程中。这项工作的核心贡献是一系列九项建议,详细介绍了气候预测,网格建模架构和备灾方面的进展,以确保基础设施规划决策能够应对气候变化带来的不确定性和风险。

更新日期:2020-12-09
down
wechat
bug