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Heatwaves: An invisible risk in UK policy and research
Environmental Science & Policy ( IF 4.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.10.021
Chloe Brimicombe , James J. Porter , Claudia Di Napoli , Florian Pappenberger , Rosalind Cornforth , Celia Petty , Hannah L. Cloke

Abstract In 2019, a heatwave – an unusual extended period of hot weather – broke the UK’s highest recorded temperature of 38.7 °C set in 2003. Of concern is that for summer 2019, this resulted in 892 excess deaths. With the intensity and frequency of UK heatwaves projected to increase, and summer temperatures predicted to be 5 °C hotter by 2070, urgent action is needed to prepare for, and adapt to, the changes now and to come. Yet it remains unclear what actions are needed and by whom. In response, a systematic literature review of UK heatwaves peer-reviewed publications, inclusive of keyword criteria (total papers returned = 183), was conducted to understand what lessons have been learnt and what needs to happen next. Our research shows that heatwaves remain largely an invisible risk in the UK. Communication over what UK residents should do, the support needed to make changes, and their capacity to enact those changes, is often lacking. In turn, there is an inherent bias where research focuses too narrowly on the health and building sectors over other critical sectors, such as agriculture. An increased amount of action and leadership is therefore necessary from the UK government to address this.

中文翻译:

热浪:英国政策和研究中的一种无形风险

摘要 2019 年,一场热浪——一段不寻常的高温天气——打破了英国 2003 年创下的 38.7 °C 的最高记录温度。令人担忧的是,2019 年夏季,这导致 892 人死亡。随着英国热浪的强度和频率预计会增加,预计到 2070 年夏季气温将升高 5°C,因此需要采取紧急行动来准备和适应现在和未来的变化。然而,目前尚不清楚需要采取哪些行动以及由谁采取行动。作为回应,对英国热浪同行评审出版物进行了系统的文献审查,包括关键字标准(返回的论文总数 = 183),以了解已吸取的教训以及接下来需要发生的事情。我们的研究表明,在英国,热浪在很大程度上仍然是一种无形的风险。关于英国居民应该做什么的沟通,往往缺乏进行变革所需的支持,以及他们实施这些变革的能力。反过来,存在固有的偏见,即研究过于狭隘地关注卫生和建筑部门,而不是农业等其他关键部门。因此,英国政府需要更多的行动和领导来解决这个问题。
更新日期:2021-02-01
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