The data on Coronavirus spread in Russia (as a whole), Sweden, Moscow, and Yakutia were analyzed within the framework of kinetics of autocatalytic branching chain reactions. It was shown that in certain time intervals, the dynamics of this process can be described by a logistic function with a graph similar to the kinetic curve of product accumulation in a first-order autocatalytic reaction both in the consumption of the reactant and in the autocatalysis by the product. The logistic curve expression has a certain predictive ability and can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of anti-epidemic measures; it also poses the problem of elucidating the causes of unexpected abrupt changes in the logistic function parameters in the description of actual statistical data.

中文翻译：

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冠状病毒在化学反应动力学方面的传播动力学

在自催化支链反应动力学框架内分析了有关冠状病毒在俄罗斯（整体）、瑞典、莫斯科和雅库特传播的数据。结果表明，在某些时间间隔内，该过程的动力学可以通过逻辑函数来描述，该函数的图形类似于一级自催化反应中反应物消耗和自催化过程中产物积累的动力学曲线由产品。Logistic曲线表达具有一定的预测能力，可用于评估抗疫措施的有效性；它还提出了在实际统计数据的描述中阐明逻辑函数参数意外突然变化的原因的问题。