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Risk identification framework in construction of Egyptian mega housing projects
Ain Shams Engineering Journal ( IF 6.0 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-02 , DOI: 10.1016/j.asej.2020.09.016
Mohamed Nabawy , George Ofori , Maged Morcos , Charles Egbu

Egypt's population is increasing and expected to exceed 120 million by 2050. Egypt constructed mega housing projects (M.H.P) to cater with that escalation in population. The Egyptian strategy 2030 prioritized the construction of M.H.P. Contractors’ in Egypt have struggled to manage construction risks and deliver housing projects successfully. The aim of the paper is to develop a conceptual risk identification framework to improve contractors’ risk identification practices during the construction of mega housing projects in Egypt. The objectives of the paper are to analyse risk management practices in Egyptian M.H.P and to develop a risk identification framework (CRIF). The paper reviewed the literature of identified risks in construction of mega projects. Through a constructivism paradigm, the paper adopted the interview technique and allocated contractors’ recent risk practice. Qualitative risk information is analysed using NVivo tool for qualitative analysis. The paper used the ISO 31,000 as a backdrop to design a conceptual risk identification framework (CRIF), and a computerized risk identification database (CRID) using visual basic programming. The paper further produced generic guidelines to support the use of the CRIF during construction of M.H.P. Availability of resources, poor financial status, and weak technical training were the most common risks in construction of mega projects worldwide. The paper presented a risk breakdown structure (R.B.S) that included M.H.P common opportunities and challenges in Egypt. Egypt’s main challenges in construction of M.H.P included Management of Resources, Project Management, and Cash flow issues. The CRIF guides contractors’ in Egypt to improve risk knowledge, and management. The CRID improves the management of identified risks by providing a database for future M.H.P. The guidelines support contractors’ in using the conceptual risk identification framework. The paper updates risk identification process by adding multidisciplinary risk elements including risk communication, risk knowledge, and considering the context in building frameworks. The paper enhances contractors’ capability in management and identification of risks in construction of M.H.P. The paper allowed researchers to manage challenges and opportunities in construction of mega housing project in Egypt.



中文翻译:

埃及大型住宅项目建设中的风险识别框架

埃及的人口正在增加,预计到 2050 年将超过 1.2 亿。埃及建造了大型住房项目 (MHP) 来满足人口增长的需求。埃及 2030 年战略优先考虑 MHP 承包商在埃及的建设,他们一直在努力管理建设风险并成功交付住房项目。本文的目的是开发一个概念性风险识别框架,以改进承包商在埃及大型住房项目建设过程中的风险识别实践。本文的目标是分析埃及 MHP 的风险管理实践并制定风险识别框架 (CRIF)。本文回顾了大型项目建设中识别风险的文献。通过建构主义范式,该论文采用了访谈技术,并分配了承包商最近的风险实践。定性风险信息使用 NVivo 工具进行定性分析。该论文以 ISO 31,000 为背景,设计了概念风险识别框架 (CRIF) 和使用可视化基本编程的计算机化风险识别数据库 (CRID)。该文件进一步制定了通用指南,以支持在 MHP 建设期间使用 CRIF 资源可用性、财务状况不佳和技术培训薄弱是全球大型项目建设中最常见的风险。该论文提出了一个风险分解结构 (RBS),其中包括埃及 MHP 的共同机遇和挑战。埃及在 MHP 建设中面临的主要挑战包括资源管理、项目管理、和现金流问题。CRIF 指导埃及的承包商提高风险知识和管理水平。CRID 通过为未来的 MHP 提供数据库来改进已识别风险的管理。指南支持承包商使用概念性风险识别框架。本文通过添加多学科风险要素(包括风险交流、风险知识和在构建框架时考虑上下文)来更新风险识别过程。该论文提高了承包商在 MHP 建设中管理和识别风险的能力 该论文使研究人员能够管理埃及大型住房项目建设中的挑战和机遇。CRID 通过为未来的 MHP 提供数据库来改进已识别风险的管理。指南支持承包商使用概念性风险识别框架。本文通过添加多学科风险要素(包括风险交流、风险知识和在构建框架时考虑上下文)来更新风险识别过程。该论文提高了承包商在 MHP 建设中管理和识别风险的能力 该论文使研究人员能够管理埃及大型住房项目建设中的挑战和机遇。CRID 通过为未来的 MHP 提供数据库来改进已识别风险的管理。指南支持承包商使用概念性风险识别框架。该论文通过添加多学科风险要素(包括风险交流、风险知识和在构建框架时考虑上下文)来更新风险识别过程。该论文提高了承包商在 MHP 建设中管理和识别风险的能力 该论文使研究人员能够管理埃及大型住房项目建设中的挑战和机遇。并在构建框架时考虑上下文。该论文提高了承包商在 MHP 建设中管理和识别风险的能力 该论文使研究人员能够管理埃及大型住房项目建设中的挑战和机遇。并在构建框架时考虑上下文。该论文提高了承包商在 MHP 建设中管理和识别风险的能力 该论文使研究人员能够管理埃及大型住房项目建设中的挑战和机遇。

更新日期:2020-11-02
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