Abstract Designing adaptation strategies to climate change and variability impacts requires an understanding of people's perception of climate change. Despite Maasai of the Maasai Steppe being vulnerable to climate change, how communities understood and interpret climate change have received little attention. A cross-sectional study of community's perceptions of climate change and adaptation was conducted. A multinomial logistic regression in R 3.3.2 was used to analyze the determinants of adaptation decisions at a household level. Perceptions of climate change was based on experience of increasing temperature (94.4%, n = 136), insufficient rainfall with spatial-temporal variation (88.2%, n = 136) and frequent dry spell in recent years (91.2%, n = 136). Impacts of these changes were drop of livestock productivity (85.7%, n = 136), death of livestock (11.9%, n = 136) and conflicts (3.4%, n = 136). Although trekking livestock to ronjo and livestock based donation from relatives were commonly used to moderate adverse impacts of drought, at the 95% CI, at least primary education influenced household decision to move to ronjo (β = 2.5, SE = 1.2, p = 0.045) and donation (β = 3.1, SE = 1.4, p = 0.029) when compared to not adapting. Moreover, few livelihood assets observed in this study may limit perceptions and even adaptations of Maasai communities.

中文翻译：

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坦桑尼亚马赛草原牧民社区对气候变化和可变性的看法和适应

摘要 设计气候变化和变率影响的适应策略需要了解人们对气候变化的看法。尽管马赛草原的马赛人容易受到气候变化的影响，但社区如何理解和解释气候变化却很少受到关注。对社区对气候变化和适应的看法进行了横断面研究。R 3.3.2 中的多项逻辑回归用于分析家庭层面适应决策的决定因素。对气候变化的认知基于温度升高（94.4%，n = 136）、降雨不足且时空变化（88.2%，n = 136）和近年来频繁干旱（91.2%，n = 136）的经验. 这些变化的影响是牲畜生产力下降（85.7%，n = 136），牲畜死亡（11.9%，n = 136）和冲突（3.4%，n = 136）。尽管将牲畜徒步到 ronjo 和亲戚捐赠的牲畜通常用于减轻干旱的不利影响，但在 95% CI 下，至少初等教育影响了家庭搬到 ronjo 的决定（β = 2.5，SE = 1.2，p = 0.045 ) 和捐赠 (β = 3.1, SE = 1.4, p = 0.029) 与不适应相比。此外，本研究中观察到的生计资产很少可能会限制对马赛社区的看法甚至适应。045) 和捐赠 (β = 3.1, SE = 1.4, p = 0.029) 与不适应相比。此外，本研究中观察到的生计资产很少可能会限制对马赛社区的看法甚至适应。045) 和捐赠 (β = 3.1, SE = 1.4, p = 0.029) 与不适应相比。此外，本研究中观察到的生计资产很少可能会限制对马赛社区的看法甚至适应。