We review concepts that have been used to address uncertainty in integrated modeling. Although conceptual approaches to tackle uncertainty seem diverse, a synthesis reveals more similarities than differences in the concepts published, especially if one adopts a model application-oriented focus. Given our findings, we slightly adapt the uncertainty framework table (UFT) developed by Walker et al. (2003) and apply it for an existing integrated modeling framework for the bio-economy. The use of color coded UFTs with a graphical visualization of uncertainty propagation pathways has facilitated a better overview and communication of uncertainties and uncertainty propagation pathways among the authors. Systematic consideration of uncertainties in integrated modeling may allow for more trust in model results and, if simulations are conducted, for a better robustness check of policy interventions.

我们回顾了用于解决集成建模中的不确定性的概念。尽管解决不确定性的概念方法似乎多种多样，但综合所揭示的概念比差异要多得多，尤其是如果采用一种面向应用程序的模型作为重点。根据我们的发现，我们略微修改了Walker等人开发的不确定性框架表（UFT）。（2003年）并将其应用于现有的生物经济综合建模框架。彩色编码的UFT与不确定性传播途径的图形化可视化的使用，促进了作者之间更好地概述和交流不确定性和不确定性传播途径。系统地考虑集成建模中的不确定性可能会增加对模型结果的信任，如果进行了仿真，