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Archetypical opportunities for water governance adaptation to climate change
Ecology and Society ( IF 3.6 ) Pub Date : 2020-01-01 , DOI: 10.5751/es-11768-250406
Anastasiia Gotgelf , Matteo Roggero , Klaus Eisenack

We explore opportunities for climate adaptation in the context of water governance. We focus on opportunities linked to the provision of climate information, raising the question of whether they are limited to incremental adaptation, or can also bring about transformational adaptation. We address this question through an archetype analysis based on 26 peer-reviewed articles. In each article, opportunities are identified, coded using the social-ecological system framework, and then bundled into archetypes that encompass similar opportunities reappearing across multiple cases. Results suggest that the provision of climate information can constitute an opportunity for adaptation that goes beyond purely incremental adjustments to a changing climate. Specifically, two of the six archetypes identified enable transformational adaptation by bringing long-term implications of current impacts into focus and by addressing the issue of capacity of existing institutions to respond to climate change. However, there is a high degree of heterogeneity in the characterization of opportunities, and the six archetypes only cover about one in three of the opportunities identified. This indicates the need for further research to develop more streamlined conceptualizations. In this respect, the archetypes identified herewith suggest some avenues for further conceptual development. We also explore policy implications, raising questions regarding the current development of climate services.

中文翻译:

水治理适应气候变化的典型机会

我们在水治理的背景下探索气候适应的机会。我们关注与提供气候信息相关的机会,提出了这些机会是否仅限于渐进式适应,或者也可以带来转型适应的问题。我们通过基于 26 篇同行评审文章的原型分析来解决这个问题。在每篇文章中,机会被识别,使用社会生态系统框架进行编码,然后捆绑成包含在多个案例中重新出现的类似机会的原型。结果表明,提供气候信息可以构成适应变化的机会,而不仅仅是对不断变化的气候进行增量调整。具体来说,确定的六个原型中的两个通过将当前影响的长期影响纳入重点,并通过解决现有机构应对气候变化的能力问题来实现转型适应。然而,机会的表征存在高度异质性,六种原型仅涵盖所识别机会的约三分之一。这表明需要进一步研究以开发更精简的概念。在这方面,本文确定的原型为进一步的概念发展提供了一些途径。我们还探讨了政策影响,提出了有关气候服务当前发展的问题。
更新日期:2020-01-01
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