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Modeling the Impact of Seasonal Weather Variations on the Infectiology of Brucellosis
Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine Pub Date : 2020-10-17 , DOI: 10.1155/2020/8972063
Nkuba Nyerere 1, 2 , Livingstone S Luboobi 3 , Saul C Mpeshe 4 , Gabriel M Shirima 5
Affiliation  

A deterministic mathematical model for brucellosis that incorporates seasonality on direct and indirect transmission parameters for domestic ruminants, wild animals, humans, and the environment was formulated and analyzed in this paper. Both analytical and numerical simulations are presented. From this study, the findings show that variations in seasonal weather have the great impact on the transmission dynamics of brucellosis in humans, livestock, and wild animals. Thus, in order for the disease to be controlled or eliminated, measures should be timely implemented upon the fluctuation in the transmission of the disease.

中文翻译:

模拟季节性天气变化对布鲁氏菌病感染的影响

本文建立并分析了布鲁氏菌病的确定性数学模型,该模型将季节性因素结合到了反刍动物,野生动物,人类和环境的直接和间接传播参数上。介绍了解析和数值模拟。从这项研究中,发现表明季节性天气的变化对布鲁氏菌病在人类,牲畜和野生动物中的传播动力学有很大影响。因此,为了控制或消除疾病,应根据疾病传播的波动及时采取措施。
更新日期:2020-10-17
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