Abstract

Major economies in Southeast Asia have been pressing the use of renewable diesel (RD) as an alternative to petroleum diesel. Currently, the major RD produced and consumed in Southeast Asia is biodiesel (BD), produced from edible oils. The use of edible oils produced by Southeast Asian countries is also consumed in various industries. This gives rise to the need to have a quantitative long-term assessment of their potential availability for BD production. In this study, the potential existing major raw material that could be tapped for biodiesel production in Southeast Asia was identified. Future demands for biodiesel and the amount of biodiesel that could potentially be produced were also estimated. These are to provide a practical assessment of the readiness of the Southeast Asian countries in the use of BD. Only Indonesia and Malaysia have surplus oils from oilseeds for BD production. However, if the trade of resources is limited within major countries in Southeast Asia, the blending of BD could be increased up to 50 to 70% in diesel fuels until the year 2040. The minimum biodiesel production potential in Southeast Asia is 36 Mm³ per year to as much as ∼61 to 87 Mm³ by 2040.

摘要

东南亚主要经济体一直在推动使用可再生柴油 (RD) 作为石油柴油的替代品。目前，东南亚生产和消费的主要 RD 是由食用油生产的生物柴油（BD）。东南亚国家生产的食用油的使用也在各个行业中消费。这就需要对它们在 BD 生产中的潜在可用性进行定量的长期评估。在这项研究中，确定了可用于东南亚生物柴油生产的潜在现有主要原材料。还估计了未来对生物柴油的需求和可能生产的生物柴油的数量。这些是为了对东南亚国家使用 BD 的准备情况进行实际评估。只有印度尼西亚和马来西亚拥有用于 BD 生产的油籽油。然而，如果东南亚主要国家内的资源贸易有限，那么到 2040 年，BD 在柴油中的混合比例可能会增加到 50% 至 70%。东南亚的最低生物柴油生产潜力为 36 毫米到 2040年每年^{3至 ∼61 至 87 Mm 3}。