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Assessment of wave energy in the Persian Gulf: An evaluation of the impacts of climate change
Oceanologia ( IF 2.6 ) Pub Date : 2020-09-28 , DOI: 10.1016/j.oceano.2020.09.004
Hamid Goharnejad , Ehsan Nikaein , Will Perrie

We are motivated to study the exploitation of marine energy as a renewable resource because of society's ever-increasing energy demands, and a concomitant need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Additionally, climate-related variations in wave energy should be investigated in order to ensure the stability of its long-term availability. Here, we investigate the potential for wave energy in the Persian Gulf along the southern coasts of Iran. To do so, we have applied the Mike SW numerical model and ECMWF wind field data for a 30-year study, from 1988 to 2017. For this purpose, wave energy was evaluated at six points in the western, northern, southern, and eastern parts of the Persian Gulf. To assess the impacts of climate change, we also consider the wave regime from 2070 to 2099 (for 30 years) following IPCC RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate change scenarios. Our findings suggest that in the present climate, seasonal variations in the mean wave parameters (i.e. wave energy, wave period, and significant wave height) correspond to the lowest wave energy in the summers, and highest in the winters. In the future climate change scenarios, energy level variations generally have similar patterns, with slight modulations in some local areas.



中文翻译:

波斯湾波浪能的评估:气候变化影响的评估

由于社会对能源的不断增长的需求以及随之而来的减少温室气体排放的需求,我们被激励去研究海洋能作为一种可再生资源的开发。此外,应研究与波能有关的气候相关变化,以确保其长期可用性的稳定性。在这里,我们调查了伊朗南部沿海波斯湾中波能的潜力。为此,我们应用了Mike SW数值模型和ECMWF风场数据进行了1988年至2017年的30年研究。为此,在西部,北部,南部和东部的六个点对波能进行了评估。波斯湾的一部分。为了评估气候变化的影响,我们还考虑了IPCC RCP4.5和RCP8之后从2070年到2099年(持续30年)的波浪形式。5种气候变化情景。我们的发现表明,在当前气候下,平均波浪参数(即波浪能,波浪周期和重要波浪高度)的季节性变化对应于夏季最低的波能,而冬季最高。在未来的气候变化情景中,能量水平的变化通常具有相似的模式,在某些局部区域会有轻微的调制。

更新日期:2020-09-28
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