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Assessment of spatiotemporal patterns of social vulnerability: A tool to resilient urban development Alexandria, Egypt
Ain Shams Engineering Journal ( IF 6.0 ) Pub Date : 2020-09-25 , DOI: 10.1016/j.asej.2020.07.025
Nourhan M. Waly , Hany M. Ayad , Dina M. Saadallah

In today's world, most cities face physical threats posed by climate change. These threats create environmental hazards, along with urban problems resulting from rapid urbanization and fast growth of cities. Unplanned urbanization causes the formulation of marginalized urban communities. According to a Un-Habitat report (2014), those groups are most vulnerable and most likely to suffer from disasters. The vulnerability of such population is an alarming problem with major social, environmental, and economic consequences. This issue has received significant consideration in climate change and disaster management research. The social vulnerability of communities is attributable to multiple indicators such as high levels of poverty, inequality, and problems relating to unemployment, housing, and access to basic civic amenities like safe drinking water and sanitation. This research aims at analysing the social vulnerability of Alexandria city. It reviews and implements several methods for selecting and aggregating vulnerability indicators. This aggregation process that captures multiple aspects of socio-spatial vulnerability in a single index or a small number of variables can produce thematic maps that act as powerful visual tools to identify those areas most susceptible to suffer from environmental changes. This study follows a structured framework to firstly describe the process of developing a social vulnerability index (SoVI), from 14 variables using two different methods. Secondly, it analyses the spatial patterns of the developed composite SoVI at the neighbourhood “Shyakha” level using ArcMap geographic information systems (GIS). The results demonstrate that the distribution of social vulnerability is not equal along Alexandria city. Most of the city is categorized to have relatively medium vulnerability level, while few areas are regarded as highly vulnerable “hot spots” and other areas are regarded as low vulnerable “cold spots”. Finally, based on the interpretation of the developed index and the deep examination of the characteristics of those vulnerable areas, the study offers guidelines to promote resilient development of most vulnerable areas.



中文翻译:

评估社会脆弱性的时空格局:恢复城市发展的工具埃及,亚历山大

在当今世界,大多数城市都面临着气候变化带来的物理威胁。这些威胁以及环境的危害以及由快速城市化和城市快速发展引起的城市问题。计划外的城市化导致边缘化城市社区的形成。根据人居署的一份报告(2014年)这些群体最脆弱,最有可能遭受灾难的折磨。这种人口的脆弱性是一个令人震惊的问题,具有重大的社会,环境和经济后果。在气候变化和灾难管理研究中,这个问题已经得到了重要考虑。社区的社会脆弱性可归因于多种指标,例如高水平的贫困,不平等以及与失业,住房以及获得基本公民设施(如安全的饮用水和卫生设施)有关的问题。本研究旨在分析亚历山大市的社会脆弱性。它审查并实现了几种选择和汇总漏洞指标的方法。这种聚集过程在单个索引或少量变量中捕获了社会空间脆弱性的多个方面,因此可以生成专题图,这些专题图可以用作强大的视觉工具,以识别那些最容易受到环境变化影响的区域。这项研究遵循一个结构化的框架,该框架首先描述了使用两种不同方法从14个变量中发展社会脆弱性指数(SoVI)的过程。其次,它使用ArcMap地理信息系统(GIS)在“ Shyakha”附近分析了开发的复合SoVI的空间格局。结果表明,亚历山大市的社会脆弱性分布不均。大部分城市被归类为相对中等的漏洞级别,而很少有地区被认为是高度脆弱的“热点”,而其他地区则被认为是高度脆弱的“冷点”。最后,在对发达指标的解释和对这些脆弱地区特征的深入研究的基础上,该研究为促进大多数脆弱地区的可持续发展提供了指导方针。

更新日期:2020-09-25
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