Abstract This study uses data from shoreline modification permit applications in Gloucester County, Virginia to provide insights into how coastal managers can encourage the use of living shorelines over shoreline armoring. The data show that shorelines are more likely to be modified on properties with high neighboring property values and properties threatened by hurricane storm surge and high wave energy, while modifications are less likely in conservation areas and areas with high percentages of natural cover and agricultural use. Compared to armoring, living shorelines are more likely in FEMA Special Flood Hazard Areas and following recent flooding experiences but are less likely to be installed following an FEMA disaster declaration. Property owners are also significantly more likely to install a specific modification if their neighbors have already installed that modification. Based on these results, coastal managers may be able to increase the effectiveness of interventions to reduce shoreline modification by targeting unmodified high value properties in residential areas with high wave energy. To encourage property owners to install living shorelines over armoring, the results suggest that coastal managers should target properties with armored neighbors or properties in business zones and should develop interventions directly following significant storm events.

中文翻译：

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鼓励生活海岸线而不是海岸线装甲：来自切萨皮克湾业主选择的见解

摘要 本研究使用弗吉尼亚州格洛斯特县海岸线改造许可申请的数据，深入了解海岸管理人员如何鼓励使用有生命力的海岸线而不是海岸线装甲。数据显示，邻近房产价值较高的房产以及受到飓风风暴潮和高波浪能威胁的房产，海岸线更有可能被修改，而在自然覆盖和农业利用比例高的保护区和地区则不太可能修改海岸线。与装甲相比，生活海岸线更有可能在 FEMA 特殊洪水危险区和最近的洪水经历后安装，但不太可能在 FEMA 灾难声明后安装。如果他们的邻居已经安装了特定的修改，业主也更有可能安装特定的修改。基于这些结果，海岸管理人员可能能够通过针对具有高波浪能量的住宅区中未经改造的高价值物业来提高干预措施的有效性，以减少海岸线改造。为鼓励业主在装甲上安装有生命力的海岸线，结果表明，沿海管理人员应针对有装甲邻居的物业或商业区的物业，并应在重大风暴事件发生后直接制定干预措施。沿海管理人员可以通过针对具有高波浪能量的住宅区中未经改造的高价值房产，提高干预措施的有效性，以减少海岸线改造。为鼓励业主在装甲上安装有生命力的海岸线，结果表明，沿海管理人员应针对有装甲邻居的物业或商业区的物业，并应在重大风暴事件发生后直接制定干预措施。沿海管理人员可以通过针对具有高波浪能量的住宅区中未经改造的高价值房产，提高干预措施的有效性，以减少海岸线改造。为鼓励业主在装甲上安装有生命力的海岸线，结果表明，沿海管理人员应针对有装甲邻居的物业或商业区的物业，并应在重大风暴事件发生后直接制定干预措施。