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How historical trends in Florida all‐citrus production correlate with devastating hurricane and freeze events
Weather ( IF 2.3 ) Pub Date : 2019-06-11 , DOI: 10.1002/wea.3512
Rhuanito Soranz Ferrarezi 1 , Kevin Rodriguez 2 , David Sharp 2
Affiliation  

Florida's Citrus Belt is uniquely situated at the crossroads of tropical storms and hurricanes as they track across the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, towards the state of Florida. Our objective here is to consider the constraining effects of cold air outbreaks in combination with landfalling hurricanes on citrus production across Florida's Citrus Belt. A simple statistical box and whisker plot analysis was used to determine what measures of decline in all‐citrus production could be deemed significant, highly significant, and within the bounds of normal season‐to‐season changes. Although hazardous weather is just one of many factors that have contributed to the overall decline in citrus production in Florida, it is one of the most influential. The constraining effects of both cold air outbreaks and tropical systems are worthy of the industry's attention. Historical data show that individual events of this nature can have significant effects, but when considered in combination across seasons, their occurrences reshape the borders of Florida's Citrus Belt and the Indian River District. Although local meteorologists are unsure as to whether events with such significant effects will occur this season, they are certain that extreme weather events like these will be observed again at some point in the future. Growers must be ready to withstand such destructive phenomena. Planning and preparation remain as crucial as ever.

中文翻译:

佛罗里达州全柑橘产量的历史趋势如何与毁灭性飓风和冰冻事件相关

佛罗里达的柑橘带独特地位于热带风暴和飓风的十字路口,它们穿越北大西洋,加勒比海和墨西哥湾,直达佛罗里达州。我们这里的目的是考虑冷空气暴发与登陆飓风相结合对佛罗里达州柑橘带整个柑橘生产的抑制作用。使用简单的统计盒和晶须图分析来确定哪些柑橘产量下降的措施可以被认为是显着的,高度显着的,并且在正常的季节变化范围内。尽管危险天气只是导致佛罗里达州柑橘产量总体下降的众多因素之一,但它却是最具影响力的因素之一。冷空气暴发和热带系统的抑制作用值得业界关注。历史数据表明,这种性质的个别事件可能会产生重大影响,但是如果将各个季节组合考虑,则它们的发生将重塑佛罗里达州柑橘带和印度河地区的边界。尽管当地气象学家不确定本季节是否会发生如此重大影响的事件,但他们确信将来会在某些时候再次观察到此类极端天气事件。种植者必须准备好承受这种破坏性现象。计划和准备仍然像以往一样至关重要。但是,考虑到各个季节的综合考虑,它们的出现将重塑佛罗里达州柑橘带和印度河地区的边界。尽管当地气象学家不确定本季节是否会发生如此重大影响的事件,但他们确信将来会在某些时候再次观察到此类极端天气事件。种植者必须准备好承受这种破坏性现象。计划和准备仍然像以往一样至关重要。但是,考虑到各个季节的综合考虑,它们的出现将重塑佛罗里达州柑橘带和印度河地区的边界。尽管当地气象学家不确定本季节是否会发生如此重大影响的事件,但他们确信将来会在某些时候再次观察到此类极端天气事件。种植者必须准备好承受这种破坏性现象。计划和准备仍然像以往一样至关重要。种植者必须准备好承受这种破坏性现象。计划和准备仍然像以往一样至关重要。种植者必须准备好承受这种破坏性现象。计划和准备仍然像以往一样至关重要。
更新日期:2019-06-11
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