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Is it too late to prevent systemic danger to the world's poor?
WIREs Climate Change ( IF 9.2 ) Pub Date : 2019-10-23 , DOI: 10.1002/wcc.609
Carol Farbotko 1
Affiliation  

To answer the question “is it too late to stop dangerous climate change?” requires systemic thinking. An experiment named ‘climate risk disclosure’ is currently underway in the global financial industry, one that is seeking to stabilize the climate‐finance meta‐system. This meta‐system is in danger of meta‐crisis, but addressing this risk in itself is a systemic danger to the world's poor, to the extent that the climate‐finance risk calculus does not adequately account for social risk. The global poor now face being systemically excluded from having their interests measured and managed in the climate‐finance meta‐system. Already vulnerable groups, at risk from poverty, climate change impacts, political unrest, and other social ills, are at risk of being even further marginalized. The systemic embedding of social exclusion is a largely unrecognized risk in work toward maintaining climate‐finance meta‐system stability. The question of preventing dangerous climate change, then, may be not so much a question of ‘when?,’ but of how to reduce the dangers arising from systemic social marginalization and compounding vulnerabilities along with systemically reducing carbon emissions. Perhaps it is not loo late to stop climate danger, but without a specific focus on social risk in the meta‐system this may only be true for those who already enjoy the fruits of global financial stability.

中文翻译:

阻止对世界穷人的系统性危害为时已晚?

要回答“停止危险的气候变化是否为时已晚?” 需要系统思考。全球金融行业目前正在进行一项名为“气候风险披露”的实验,该实验旨在稳定气候金融元系统。这个元系统正处于元危机的危险之中,但是解决这一风险本身就是对世界穷人的系统性危险,其程度是气候融资风险演算未能充分考虑到社会风险。现在,全球穷人面临着被系统地排斥在气候金融元系统中衡量和管理其利益的问题。已经受到贫困,气候变化影响,政治动荡和其他社会弊端威胁的脆弱群体正处于被进一步边缘化的危险中。社会排斥的系统性嵌入是维护气候金融元系统稳定的主要风险。因此,预防危险的气候变化的问题可能不仅仅是“何时”的问题,而是如何减少由于系统的社会边缘化和加剧脆弱性以及系统地减少碳排放而产生的危险。也许现在还不至于阻止气候危险,但是如果不特别关注元系统中的社会风险,这可能仅对那些已经享有全球金融稳定成果的人们才是正确的。”,但有关如何减少系统的社会边缘化和增加脆弱性以及系统地减少碳排放量所带来的危险。也许现在还不至于阻止气候危险,但是如果不特别关注元系统中的社会风险,这可能仅对那些已经享有全球金融稳定成果的人们才是正确的。”,但有关如何减少系统的社会边缘化和增加脆弱性以及系统地减少碳排放量所带来的危险。也许现在还不至于制止气候危机,但是如果不特别关注元系统中的社会风险,这可能仅对那些已经享有全球金融稳定成果的人们才是正确的。
更新日期:2019-10-23
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