Abstract Studies on project failure and its subsequent termination phase are scarce; studies that use a quantitative approach are almost nonexistent. This is most likely because organizations usually do not collect data on project failures, are unable to share such data, or a combination of both. The contribution of this article is twofold: to (1) showcase a methodology to validate a model using actual business cases and (2) validate a project termination phase forecast model (PTPFM) using the methodology. The model is validated through four business cases, comparing the results from the model to the decisions made in reality.

中文翻译：

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使用现有业务案例验证用于预测项目终止阶段的模型

摘要 对项目失败及其后续终止阶段的研究很少；使用定量方法的研究几乎不存在。这很可能是因为组织通常不收集有关项目失败的数据，无法共享此类数据，或两者兼而有之。本文的贡献有两个方面：(1) 展示使用实际业务案例验证模型的方法；(2) 使用该方法验证项目终止阶段预测模型 (PTPFM)。该模型通过四个业务案例进行验证，将模型的结果与现实中做出的决策进行比较。