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Rediscovering the anatomy of urban growth: The spatio-temporal evolution of building activity in a Mediterranean city
Norsk Geografisk Tidsskrift-Norwegian Journal of Geography ( IF 1.1 ) Pub Date : 2019-07-23 , DOI: 10.1080/00291951.2019.1635203
Luca Salvati 1, 2
Affiliation  

The impact of building cycles on recent expansions of Athens was assessed under the hypothesis that non-linear paths of urban growth result from sequential phases of economic growth and decline. Changes over time in building activity were examined by considering indicators derived from a local-scale analysis of building permits issued by Greek municipalities between 1990 and 2016. Relevant socioeconomic forces shaping spatio-temporal variability in building activity were identified by analyzing contextual indicators through inferential techniques and multivariate analysis. The results showed distinctive responses of real-estate local markets to economic cycles at the local scale in Athens, allowing for identification of short-term and long-term urban dynamics characteristic of expansion and recession waves. The most sensitive indicators to economic cycles in Athens were density of new buildings, average floors per new building, density of building additions, and number of building permits per inhabitant. Infrastructure-driven development, as a result of the 2004 Olympic Games, has produced relevant alterations in short-term patterns in the construction market, resulting in spatially-complex urbanization trends. The author concludes that local-scale indicators derived from building permit data provide insights into progressively complex dynamics of urban growth, with implications for regional planning and the design of sustainable development practices.



中文翻译:

重新发现城市增长的解剖:地中海城市建筑活动的时空演变

在以下假设下评估了建筑周期对雅典最近扩张的影响:城市增长的非线性路径是由经济增长和衰退的连续阶段产生的。通过考虑从1990年至2016年希腊市政当局发布的本地建筑许可分析进行尺度分析得出的指标,研究了建筑活动的时间变化。通过推论技术分析背景指标,确定了影响建筑活动时空变异的相关社会经济力量。和多元分析。结果表明,房地产当地市场对雅典当地规模的经济周期有独特的反应,从而可以确定膨胀和衰退波的短期和长期城市动态。对雅典经济周期最敏感的指标是新建筑物的密度,每座新建筑物的平均楼层数,建筑物的增加密度以及每位居民的建筑物许可证数量。作为2004年奥运会的结果,基础设施驱动的发展对建筑市场的短期格局产生了相关的变化,导致了空间复杂的城市化趋势。作者得出的结论是,从建筑许可数据中得出的地方尺度指标为深入了解城市增长的动态变化提供了见识,并对区域规划和可持续发展实践的设计产生了影响。作为2004年奥运会的结果,建筑市场的短期格局发生了相关变化,导致了空间复杂的城市化趋势。作者得出的结论是,从建筑许可数据中得出的地方尺度指标可以洞悉城市增长的渐进复杂动态,并对区域规划和可持续发展实践的设计产生影响。作为2004年奥运会的结果,建筑市场的短期格局发生了相关变化,导致了空间复杂的城市化趋势。作者得出的结论是,从建筑许可数据中得出的地方尺度指标为深入了解城市增长的动态变化提供了见识,并对区域规划和可持续发展实践的设计产生了影响。

更新日期:2019-07-23
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