The distributional impact of climate change,Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

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The distributional impact of climate change
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences ( IF 4.1 ) Pub Date : 2020-09-17 , DOI: 10.1111/nyas.14497
Richard S J Tol _{1,

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Affiliation

Poorer, hotter countries are more vulnerable to climate change and will experience more negative impacts. The pattern of vulnerability between countries is used to impute impacts for income deciles within countries, for administrative regions, and for grid cells. Almost three-quarters of people will face worse impacts than their country average. Between-country variation is larger than within-country variation for income deciles and regions, and about as large for grid cells. I here revisit earlier estimates of the economic impact of climate change and extend the analysis to impute the distribution of impacts within countries.

中文翻译：

气候变化的分布影响

较贫穷、较热的国家更容易受到气候变化的影响，并将受到更多的负面影响。国家之间的脆弱性模式用于估算国家内部、行政区域和网格单元对收入十分位数的影响。近四分之三的人将面临比其国家平均水平更严重的影响。对于收入十分位数和地区而言，国家之间的差异大于国家内部的差异，而对于网格单元而言，其差异也大致相同。我在这里重新审视了先前对气候变化经济影响的估计，并将分析扩展到估算国家内部影响的分布。

更新日期：2020-09-17

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