Selection of a cropping pattern that is suitable for available water resources in each region is one of the important strategies for tackling drought and increasing water productivity. So far, many studies have been conducted to optimize cropping patterns, but their prime focus has been on optimizing the cultivation area of each crop. However, considering stakeholders’ interests and criteria in the region causes an increase in the acceptability and implementation of the modeling results. Crop selection that conforms to regional stakeholders’ criteria for cropping pattern optimization is a parameter that has been less considered in the past. The present study proposes a methodology based on four multi-criteria decision-making models including AHP, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE and ELECTRE combined with Borda count, MVR, Condorcet social methods as well as fallback bargaining method in order to select proper crops for cropping pattern optimization. The suggested methodology was used in irrigation and drainage network of Doroudzan Dam in Fars province, Iran, under normal, wet and arid climatic conditions. The results showed, based on the three decision-making methods, wheat has been introduced as the first priority of the farmers in the study area in most of the regions and under different climatic conditions. Applying the fallback bargaining method to reach an agreement and considering the depth of the calculated agreement for each management region under each of the climatic conditions, the results obtained by the fallback bargaining method often maximize the negotiators’ satisfaction.

中文翻译：

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基于社会选择和考虑利益相关者意见的后备谈判方法选择合适的作物进行种植模式优化

选择适合每个地区可用水资源的种植模式是应对干旱和提高水资源生产力的重要策略之一。到目前为止，已经进行了许多优化种植模式的研究，但他们的主要重点是优化每种作物的种植面积。然而，考虑到该地区利益相关者的利益和标准，会增加建模结果的可接受性和实施。符合区域利益相关者种植模式优化标准的作物选择是过去较少考虑的参数。本研究提出了一种基于四种多标准决策模型的方法，包括 AHP、TOPSIS、PROMETHEE 和 ELECTR，结合 Borda 计数、MVR、Condorcet 社会方法以及后备谈判方法，以选择合适的作物进行种植模式优化。在正常、潮湿和干旱的气候条件下，建议的方法用于伊朗法尔斯省 Doroudzan 大坝的灌溉和排水网络。结果表明，基于三种决策方法，在大部分地区和不同的气候条件下，小麦已成为研究区农民的第一要务。应用后备谈判方法达成协议，并考虑每个管理区域在每种气候条件下计算的协议深度，后备谈判方法获得的结果往往使谈判者的满意度最大化。