Consequences of global climate change on mangrove habitats are ambiguous owing to multifaceted factors. In this study, we examined historical occurrences of ten common mangrove species and quantified the rate of latitudinal shift as a possible response to climate change. The Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) was used to gather occurrence of mangrove species. We found that nine of ten species have been shifting poleward since the 1950s. Overall mean latitudinal shift rates of mangrove species were significantly higher in Australia than in North America (1.7 and 1.3 latitude degrees per decade, respectively). In Australia, mean temperature and precipitation of localities decreased as mangrove species shifted towards drier regions at higher latitudes. However, in North America and West Africa, mean temperature of localities seems relatively stable, whereas precipitation slightly decreased. We provide new quantitative information on shifts in occurrence of common mangrove species worldwide under a changing climate. We confirm the poleward movement of mangrove species over the past 70 years and suggest that local mean temperature and precipitation can act as key drivers of mangrove range shifts. We also advise that poleward latitudinal shifts in mangrove species should be taken into account when establishing new nature reserves.

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全球红树林物种的纬度变化：来自历史发生记录的证据

由于多方面的因素，全球气候变化对红树林栖息地的影响是不明确的。在这项研究中，我们检查了 10 种常见红树林物种的历史事件，并量化了纬度变化的速度，作为对气候变化的可能反应。全球生物多样性信息设施 (GBIF) 用于收集红树林物种的出现情况。我们发现自 1950 年代以来，十个物种中有九个一直在向极地移动。澳大利亚红树林物种的总体平均纬度变化率明显高于北美（分别为每十年 1.7 和 1.3 纬度）。在澳大利亚，随着红树林物种向高纬度的干旱地区转移，当地的平均温度和降水量下降。然而，在北美和西非，各地平均气温相对稳定，降水略有减少。我们提供有关气候变化下全球常见红树林物种发生变化的新定量信息。我们证实了过去 70 年红树林物种向极地移动，并表明当地平均温度和降水可以作为红树林分布范围变化的关键驱动因素。我们还建议在建立新的自然保护区时应考虑红树林物种的极地纬度变化。我们证实了过去 70 年红树林物种向极地移动，并表明当地平均温度和降水可以作为红树林分布范围变化的关键驱动因素。我们还建议在建立新的自然保护区时应考虑红树林物种的极地纬度变化。我们证实了过去 70 年红树林物种向极地移动，并表明当地平均温度和降水可以作为红树林分布范围变化的关键驱动因素。我们还建议在建立新的自然保护区时应考虑红树林物种的极地纬度变化。