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On connection of variations between hard cosmic ray flux, temperature and cardiovascular diseases in vilnius and sunspot number during 2001–2012
Journal of Environmental Engineering and Landscape Management ( IF 1.0 ) Pub Date : 2015-06-25 , DOI: 10.3846/16486897.2015.1009078
Dmitrijus STYRO 1 , Ana USOVAITE 1
Affiliation  

The connection has been found between the course of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and the hard cosmic ray flux (HCRF) near the ground surface in Vilnius. The course of air temperature and number of sunspot was simultaneously considered. The investigation was carried out for the average annual and average monthly values in the period of solar cycle 2001–2012. The course of average annual data is most identical for HCRF and number of sunspot: whereas, it significantly differs from CVD and temperature course. The stable connection between a course of average monthly values of HCRF and CVD is found. Such a connection for temperature and CVD had a negative correlation with coefficient of correlation –0.9. A rather weak correlation was between the change in the number of sunspots and other characteristics. Values of correlation coefficient between them were less than 0.4 during all of the solar cycle 2001–2012. The exception had taken place at the maximum solar activity, i. e. in 2001 and 2012 when values of correlation coefficient exceeded 0.5. For the short-term prognosis of CVD leaps exceeding average monthly value by 10% in 1–3 days after HCRF decrease according to the proposed criterion, the high efficiency of the results 68–79% was obtained. The variation of sunspot number isn't connected with these data. A short-term connection between the change in air temperature, the change in the sunspot number and CVD leaps has not been found. The human factor has an additional influence on CVD leaps, which was considered in these studies.



中文翻译:

关于2001-2012年期间硬宇宙射线通量,温度和维尔纽斯心血管疾病和黑子数之间的变化的联系

在维尔纽斯地表附近的心血管疾病(CVD)过程和硬宇宙射线通量(HCRF)之间发现了这种联系。同时考虑了气温变化过程和黑子数。对2001-2012年太阳周期期间的年均和月均值进行了调查。HCRF和黑子数的年平均数据过程最一致:而与CVD和温度过程明显不同。在HCRF和CVD的平均月度值的过程之间找到了稳定的联系。温度和CVD的这种关系与相关系数–0.9呈负相关。黑子数的变化与其他特征之间的相关性较弱。在2001-2012年的所有太阳周期中,它们之间的相关系数值均小于0.4。最大太阳活动发生了例外,即在2001年和2012年,相关系数的值超过0.5。根据建议的标准,在HCRF降低后的1-3天,CVD的短期预后超过月均值超出10%,可获得68-79%的高效率结果。太阳黑子数的变化与这些数据无关。尚未发现气温变化,黑子数变化和CVD跳跃之间的短期联系。这些研究中考虑了人为因素对CVD跳跃的影响。最大太阳活动发生了例外,即在2001年和2012年,相关系数的值超过0.5。根据建议的标准,在HCRF降低后的1-3天内,CVD的短期预后超过月均值超出10%,可获得68-79%的高效率结果。太阳黑子数的变化与这些数据无关。尚未发现气温变化,黑子数变化和CVD跳跃之间的短期联系。这些研究中考虑了人为因素对CVD跳跃的影响。最大太阳活动发生了例外,即在2001年和2012年,相关系数的值超过0.5。根据建议的标准,在HCRF降低后的1-3天内,CVD的短期预后超过月均值超出10%,可获得68-79%的高效率结果。太阳黑子数的变化与这些数据无关。尚未发现气温变化,黑子数变化和CVD跳跃之间的短期联系。这些研究中考虑了人为因素对CVD跳跃的影响。根据建议的标准,在HCRF降低后的1-3天,CVD的短期预后超过月均值超出10%,可获得68-79%的高效率结果。太阳黑子数的变化与这些数据无关。尚未发现气温变化,黑子数变化和CVD跳跃之间的短期联系。这些研究中考虑了人为因素对CVD跳跃的影响。根据建议的标准,在HCRF降低后的1-3天,CVD的短期预后超过月均值超出10%,可获得68-79%的高效率结果。太阳黑子数的变化与这些数据无关。尚未发现气温变化,黑子数变化和CVD跳跃之间的短期联系。这些研究中考虑了人为因素对CVD跳跃的影响。

更新日期:2015-06-25
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