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Exploring drivers of sectoral electricity demand in Indonesia
Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy ( IF 3.1 ) Pub Date : 2018-11-29 , DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2018.1538271
Muhammad Al Irsyad 1, 2 , Rabindra Nepal 3 , Anthony Halog 2
Affiliation  

This study estimates the influence of income, electricity price, oil price, urbanization, and Asian economic crisis to electricity demands in residential, industrial, and commercial sectors of Indonesia using autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method. Our estimations reveal that electricity demands in all sectors during the period of 1969–2015 are significantly affected by income and urbanization in which the demands in all sectors are elastic to urbanization but inelastic to income. On the other hand, electricity price only significantly affects residential electricity demand while oil price does not have significant influence on electricity demands in all sectors. The electricity demands in residential and commercial sectors are also significantly inelastic to the number of electricity customers while Asian economic crisis in 1998 only affects industrial electricity demand. These findings are like most previous studies for other country cases but not to previous Indonesian studies that had suffered from the cointegration issues.



中文翻译:

探索印尼部门电力需求的驱动力

这项研究使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法估计了收入,电价,石油价格,城市化以及亚洲经济危机对印度尼西亚居民,工业和商业部门电力需求的影响。我们的估计表明,1969-2015年期间所有部门的电力需求都受到收入和城市化的显着影响,其中所有部门的电力需求对城市化具有弹性,但对收入却没有弹性。另一方面,电价仅显着影响住宅用电需求,而油价对所有部门的用电需求均无显着影响。住宅和商业部门的电力需求对电力用户数量也没有明显的弹性,而1998年的亚洲经济危机仅影响工业用电需求。这些发现与以前针对其他国家案例进行的大多数研究类似,但与之前因协整问题遭受的印度尼西亚研究不同。

更新日期:2018-11-29
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