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Tropical Cyclone Activities in Warm Climate with Quadrupled CO2 Concentration Simulated by a New General Circulation Model
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres ( IF 3.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-08-22 , DOI: 10.1029/2019jd032314
Chanwoo Song 1 , Sungsu Park 1 , Jihoon Shin 1
Affiliation  

To understand the impacts of global warming on tropical cyclones (TCs), we compared various TC properties and environmental conditions during the pre‐industrial period with those in a warm climate with quadrupled CO2 concentration using the Seoul National University Earth System Model Version 0 with a unified convection scheme (SEM0‐UNICON). TCs in warm climate are faster, stronger, and larger with more precipitation but are short‐lived and fewer than those in cold climate. Fewer TCs in warm climate are associated with the decreases in the climatological mean upward flow at 500 hPa (ω500) and the increase in saturation deficit at 600 hPa (δ600). In contrast, enhanced TC intensity is associated with the increases in sea surface temperature, upward ω500, column‐integrated water vapor, convective available potential energy, and horizontal moisture convergence below 700 hPa along TC tracks.

中文翻译:

通过新的一般环流模型模拟,热带气候在热带气候中的CO2浓度增加了三倍的热带气旋活动

为了了解全球变暖对热带气旋(TC)的影响,我们使用首尔国立大学地球系统模型版本0将工业前期的各种TC特性和环境条件与CO 2浓度四倍的温暖气候下的气候条件和环境条件进行了比较。统一的对流方案(SEM0‐UNICON)。与寒冷气候相比,温暖气候下的TC更快,更强,更大,降水更多,但寿命短且数量少。在温暖的气候更少气旋与在500百帕(气候平均上升流的减小相关联的ω 500),并在600百帕增加饱和差(δ 600)。与此相反,增强TC强度与在海表面温度的增加有关,向上ω 500,柱集成水蒸气,对流有效位能,并且低于700百帕水平湿气收敛沿TC轨道。
更新日期:2020-09-07
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