Abstract The only self-sustaining population of endangered whooping cranes (Grus americana) requires a network of conservation lands for wintering along the Texas Gulf Coast (USA), so that this increasing population can reach downlisting under the Endangered Species Act (1000 birds). We identify locations providing the highest quality and most sustainable wintering habitat for these whooping cranes through 2100 by predicting future habitats under three projections of sea level rise (0.6, 1.0 and 2.0 m by 2100), while incorporating two scenarios of future urban development. Our method combines predictions of future habitat quality with current whooping crane density estimates to calculate the potential carrying capacity of whooping cranes for each 10 m pixel within this 17,725 km2 area. We found whooping cranes used locations with salt marsh at twice the rate of places lacking marsh. Areas > 15 km from development or

中文翻译：

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确定鸣鹤的可持续冬季栖息地

摘要 濒临灭绝的美洲鹤 (Grus americana) 唯一能够自我维持的种群需要在德克萨斯州墨西哥湾沿岸 (美国) 沿岸建立一个保护土地网络，以便根据《濒危物种法案》(1000 只鸟) 将不断增加的种群列入名单。我们通过预测海平面上升的三种预测（到 2100 年为 0.6、1.0 和 2.0 m）预测未来栖息地，同时结合未来城市发展的两种情景，确定了到 2100 年为这些百日鹤提供最高质量和最可持续越冬栖息地的地点。我们的方法将未来栖息地质量的预测与当前百日咳密度估计相结合，以计算这 17,725 平方公里区域内每 10 m 像素的百日咳潜在承载能力。我们发现百日鹤使用有盐沼的地方的比率是没有盐沼的地方的两倍。距开发区 > 15 公里的区域或