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The Physics of Earthquake Forecasting
Seismological Research Letters ( IF 2.6 ) Pub Date : 2020-07-01 , DOI: 10.1785/0220200127
Margarita Segou 1
Affiliation  

The Coulomb stress theory is the basic physics principle upon which scientists rely for improving our understanding behind earthquake triggering processes and, therefore, our predictability of future earthquake hazards. The assumption that following a large earthquake the expected regional stress redistribution will affect other faults has been known since the late nineteenth century and has been passed on for further consideration by Charles Richter. However, we still struggle to define its implementation principles in short‐term forecasts. This opinion article discusses the recent advances in physics‐based earthquake forecasting to motivate an open discussion about what we have collectively learnt from the...

中文翻译:

地震预报物理学

库仑应力理论是科学家们赖以提高对地震触发过程的理解以及因此对未来地震危害的可预测性的基础基本物理学原理。自十九世纪末以来,人们就知道大地震后预期的区域应力重新分布会影响其他断层的假设,并已被查尔斯·里希特(Charles Richter)进一步考虑。但是,我们仍然难以在短期预测中定义其实施原则。这篇观点文章讨论了基于物理的地震预报的最新进展,以激发公开讨论我们从中学到的集体知识。
更新日期:2020-08-20
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