Antakya province is tectonically affected by Dead Sea and East Anatolian faults and the Cyprus arc. Although there had been major and devastating earthquakes in the historical period, the fact that there is no major earthquake in the instrumental period increases the risk of seismic hazard of the region. In this study, it is aimed to perform a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis application for Antakya province, Turkey. For this purpose, the earthquakes (M_w ≥ 4) which occurred between 1900 and 2017 were used. Nine seismic source zones that could affect the Antakya province were identified and the seismic hazard parameters calculated for each zone. Peak ground acceleration (PGA) values that can occur in a possible earthquake were obtained according to a recurrence period of 475 yrs by using two different attenuation relationships and presented with iso-acceleration maps. The calculated PGA values in the study area are found as between 0.32 and 0.57 g for both attenuation relationships. The areas located on the north of Kırıkhan district have the highest risk of seismic hazard in the study area according to determined PGA values.

中文翻译：

---

用概率法评估安塔基亚省（土耳其）的地震危险

安塔基亚省受到死海和安纳托利亚东部断层以及塞浦路斯弧的构造影响。尽管在历史时期曾发生过大地震和毁灭性地震，但在仪器化时期没有大地震这一事实增加了该地区发生地震危险的风险。在这项研究中，其目的是为土耳其的安塔基亚省进行概率地震危险性分析应用。为此，地震（M _w≥4）发生在1900年至2017年之间。确定了可能影响安塔基亚省的9个地震震源区，并为每个震区计算了地震危险参数。通过使用两个不同的衰减关系，根据475年的重复周期，获得了可能发生在地震中的峰值地面加速度（PGA）值，并提供了等加速度图。对于两种衰减关系，在研究区域中计算出的PGA值均在0.32至0.57 g之间。根据确定的PGA值，位于Kırıkhan区北部的地区在研究区域内发生地震危险的风险最高。