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Assessment of landslide susceptibility using statistical modelling in the flysch zone of the Western Carpathians (NW Slovakia)
Physical Geography ( IF 1.1 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-03 , DOI: 10.1080/02723646.2020.1770039
Mária Barančoková 1 , Zdena Krnáčová 1
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT Landslides represent one of the most frequent geodynamic phenomena in Slovakia. This contribution focuses on the relations of the selected landscape attributes and landslides in flysch area of the Western Carpathians. We presented three statistical methods of assessing and making a prognosis of the landslide hazard: multivariate, factor and zonal analysis. These methods complement each other and their aim is to analyse and recognize natural processes, which trigger the landslides in a more complex way. With multivariate analysis, we evaluated mutual interactions between the input attributes and determined their level of impact on landslide hazard. Using factor analysis, we extracted latent factors with the highest factor loads and identified the main factors that could trigger landslides. Areal extension of landslides in individual landscape attributes was expressed by zonal analysis, based on the superposition of the individual vector layers. Our evaluation shows that the slope predisposition to landslides is predominantly given by the geological, hydrogeological and morphological conditions. The proposed landslide risk assessment procedure allows for the functional sustainable development of the landscape development planning documents. The results presented in this paper are relevant for the area formed by flysch rock (Alps and Carpathians), but also for areas where clastic sediments alternate rhythmically.

中文翻译:

在西喀尔巴阡山脉(斯洛伐克西北部)复理石区使用统计模型评估滑坡敏感性

摘要 滑坡是斯洛伐克最常见的地球动力学现象之一。该贡献侧重于西喀尔巴阡山脉复理石地区所选景观属性与滑坡的关系。我们提出了三种评估和预测滑坡灾害的统计方法:多变量、因子和区域分析。这些方法相辅相成,其目的是分析和识别以更复杂的方式触发滑坡的自然过程。通过多变量分析,我们评估了输入属性之间的相互影响,并确定了它们对滑坡灾害的影响程度。使用因子分析,我们提取了具有最高因子载荷的潜在因子,并确定了可能引发滑坡的主要因素。基于单个向量层的叠加,通过分区分析表示单个景观属性中滑坡的面积扩展。我们的评估表明,斜坡易发生滑坡主要是由地质、水文地质和形态条件决定的。拟议的滑坡风险评估程序允许景观开发规划文件的功能可持续发展。本文中提出的结果与复理石形成的区域(阿尔卑斯山和喀尔巴阡山脉)相关,但也与碎屑沉积有节奏地交替的区域相关。水文地质和形态条件。拟议的滑坡风险评估程序允许景观开发规划文件的功能可持续发展。本文中提出的结果与复理石形成的区域(阿尔卑斯山和喀尔巴阡山脉)有关,但也与碎屑沉积有节奏地交替的区域有关。水文地质和形态条件。拟议的滑坡风险评估程序允许景观开发规划文件的功能可持续发展。本文中提出的结果与复理石形成的区域(阿尔卑斯山和喀尔巴阡山脉)有关,但也与碎屑沉积有节奏地交替的区域有关。
更新日期:2020-06-03
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