Abstract The unequal growth of population and buildings in metropolitan regions reflects dispersed urban expansion. This study illustrates an operational framework grounded on a diachronic analysis of urbanization processes in advanced economies that provides a comprehensive evaluation of the mismatch between resident population and building stock. Studying the urban cycle of a European city (Athens, Greece), a mismatch indicator was derived at the municipal level as the elasticity rate of resident population and total building stock changes over 7 time intervals between 1920 and 2010. Results indicate that divergences in population and building stock growth rates increased since the early 1980s. The population-buildings mismatch displays an increasingly asymmetric spatial distribution, evidencing more or less accelerated paths toward dispersed settlements that may outline unsustainable forms of land management. Municipalities with a compact morphology at the beginning of the study period showed a higher rate of self-contained urban expansion than municipalities with more dispersed settlements. A comparative analysis of the impact of town planning on enlarging population-settlement mismatches was finally proposed as a basic knowledge to sustainable land management in (rapidly expanding) metropolitan regions.

中文翻译：

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土地错配、城市增长和空间规划：对大都市可持续性的贡献

摘要 大都市地区人口和建筑的不平等增长反映了分散的城市扩张。本研究阐述了一个基于发达经济体城市化进程历时分析的运营框架，该框架提供了对常住人口与建筑存量之间不匹配的综合评估。研究欧洲城市（雅典、希腊）的城市周期，在 1920 年和 2010 年之间的 7 个时间间隔内，随着常住人口和总建筑存量的弹性率变化，在市政层面推导出了一个失配指标。结果表明人口差异自 1980 年代初以来，建筑存量增长率一直在上升。人口与建筑的不匹配显示出越来越不对称的空间分布，证明或多或少加快了通往分散定居点的道路，这可能勾勒出不可持续的土地管理形式。在研究期开始时，形态紧凑的城市比居住区更分散的城市显示出更高的城市扩张速度。城市规划对扩大人口-定居不匹配的影响的比较分析最终被提出，作为（快速扩张的）大都市区可持续土地管理的基础知识。