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Incorporating social opinion in the evolution of an epidemic spread
arXiv - CS - Social and Information Networks Pub Date : 2020-07-09 , DOI: arxiv-2007.04619
Alejandro Carballosa, Mariamo Mussa-Juane and Alberto P. Mu\~nuzuri

Attempts to control the epidemic spread of COVID19 in the different countries often involve imposing restrictions to the mobility of citizens. Recent examples demonstrate that the effectiveness of these policies strongly depends on the willingness of the population to adhere them. And this is a parameter that it is difficult to measure and control. We demonstrate in this manuscript a systematic way to check the mood of a society and a way to incorporate it into dynamical models of epidemic propagation. We exemplify the process considering the case of Spain although the results and methodology can be directly extrapolated to other countries.

中文翻译:

将社会舆论纳入流行病传播的演变过程中

试图控制 COVID19 在不同国家的流行传播往往涉及对公民的流动性施加限制。最近的例子表明,这些政策的有效性在很大程度上取决于人们是否愿意遵守这些政策。而这是一个很难测量和控制的参数。我们在这份手稿中展示了一种检查社会情绪的系统方法,以及一种将其纳入流行病传播动态模型的方法。尽管结果和方法可以直接外推到其他国家,但我们以西班牙为例说明了该过程。
更新日期:2020-07-10
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