Transport emissions need to be drastically decreased in order to put Europe on a path towards a long-term climate neutrality. Commercial transport, and especially last mile delivery is expected to grow because of the rise of e-commerce. In this frame, electric light commercial vehicles (eLCVs) can be a promising low-emission solution. Literature holistically analysing the potential of eLCVs as well as related support policies is sparse. This paper attempts to close this research gap. To this aim, the total cost of ownership (TCO) comparisons for eLCVs and benchmark vehicles are performed and support measures that target the improvement of the eLCV TCO are analysed. Various eLCV deployment scenarios until 2030 are explored and their impact on carbon dioxide (CO₂) and other pollutant emissions as well as pollutant concentrations are calculated. It is found that while in several European Union (EU) countries eLCVs are already cost competitive, because of fiscal support, some remaining market barriers need to be overcome to pave the way to mass market deployment of eLCVs. High penetration of eLCVs alone can lead to a reduction of total transport CO₂ emissions by more than 3% by 2030. For pollutant emissions, such as nitrogen oxide (NO_x) and particulate matter (PM), the reduction would be equal or even higher. In the case of PM, this can translate to reductions in concentrations by nearly 2% in several urban areas by 2030. Carefully designed support policies could help to ensure that the potential of eLCVs as a low-emission alternative is fully leveraged in the EU.

为了使欧洲迈向长期的气候中和之路，需要大幅度减少运输排放。由于电子商务的兴起，预计商业运输，尤其是最后一英里的交付将增长。在这种情况下，电动轻型商用车（eLCV）可能是一种有前途的低排放解决方案。全面分析eLCV的潜力以及相关支持政策的文献很少。本文试图弥补这一研究空白。为此，对eLCV和基准车辆的总拥有成本（TCO）进行了比较，并分析了旨在改善eLCV TCO的支持措施。探索了到2030年的各种eLCV部署方案及其对二氧化碳（CO ₂）和其他污染物排放以及污染物浓度的计算。已经发现，尽管在几个欧盟国家中，eLCV已经具有成本竞争力，但由于有财政支持，仍需要克服一些剩余的市场壁垒，以为eLCV的大规模市场部署铺平道路。到2030年，仅eLCV的高渗透率就可以使运输中的总CO ₂排放量减少3％以上。对于污染物排放，例如氮氧化物（NO _x）和颗粒物（PM）的减少量相等或更高。以PM为例，到2030年，这可以转化为几个城市地区的浓度降低近2％。精心设计的支持政策可以帮助确保eLCV作为低排放替代品的潜力在欧盟得到充分利用。