Abstract To control and reduce the effects of drought, it is essential for farmers to do drought risk management so as to cope with climate change. The purpose of this study was to “assessing farmers' drought risk management behavior (FDRMB) in downstream of Karkheh Dam basin, Iran”. For this purpose, the “protection motivation theory (PMT)” was used to measure FDRMB. This theory consists of six variables i.e. “perceived vulnerability (PV)”, “perceived severity (PS)”, “self-efficacy (SE)”, “response cost (RC)”, “response efficacy (RC)”, and “intention (IN)”. This research included a descriptive-correlational and causal relationship that was conducted by a survey. The study population included farmers who were members in the water user association in downstream of Karkheh Dam (N = 3668), out of which, 350 users were sampled by Krejcie and Morgan's table and by the stratified random sampling method, respectively. In accordance with the PMT, for the variables affecting FDRMB a causal framework was designed. Findings from the path analysis indicated that the six variables in PMT might explain 0.473 of the FDRMB variance. Besides, SE had the highest effect in FDRMB (β = 0.503). As a general conclusion, policies need to make farmers take their own risk management decisions and have access to a variety of tools and strategies.

中文翻译：

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分析农民的干旱风险管理行为：来自伊朗的证据

摘要 为了控制和减少干旱的影响，农民必须做好干旱风险管理，以应对气候变化。本研究的目的是“评估伊朗 Karkheh 大坝下游地区农民的干旱风险管理行为 (FDRMB)”。为此，使用“保护动机理论（PMT）”来衡量 FDRMB。该理论由六个变量组成，即“感知脆弱性（PV）”、“感知严重性（PS）”、“自我效能（SE）”、“响应成本（RC）”、“响应效能（RC）”和“意图（IN）”。这项研究包括通过调查进行的描述性相关和因果关系。研究人口包括在 Karkheh 大坝下游的用水者协会成员的农民 (N = 3668)，其中，分别通过 Krejcie 和 Morgan 表以及分层随机抽样方法对 350 名用户进行了抽样。根据 PMT，为影响 FDRMB 的变量设计了一个因果框架。路径分析的结果表明，PMT 中的六个变量可以解释 0.473 的 FDRMB 方差。此外，SE 对 FDRMB 的影响最大（β = 0.503）。作为一般结论，政策需要让农民做出自己的风险管理决策，并获得各种工具和策略。SE 对 FDRMB 的影响最大（β = 0.503）。作为一般结论，政策需要让农民做出自己的风险管理决策，并可以使用各种工具和策略。SE 对 FDRMB 的影响最大（β = 0.503）。作为一般结论，政策需要让农民做出自己的风险管理决策，并可以使用各种工具和策略。