During the last two decades, problems related to high-energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by the transportation sector have arisen. Therefore, several alternatives have been investigated, in order to reduce the dependence on the conventional fuels that are used by land transportation modes. One of these promising alternatives is the electric vehicles (EVs), which seem to be the future replacement for conventional vehicles. Thus, this study aims to quantify the energy and the environmental implications of EVs in Palestine in 2030, considering that the current percentage of EVs is almost 0%. In this study, the needed parameters related to the number of vehicles and energy costs by source in Palestine were collected. Then, several prediction models have been developed in order to determine the energy and environmental implications of EVs in 2030, considering that 10% of conventional vehicles could be replaced by EV during the next 10 years (2020–2030). The results have showed that this could save USD 464.31 million in operating energy costs during 2030 (one year of saving). More specifically, this number is almost equal to 3.18% of the gross domestic product (GDP) of Palestine in 2018. Furthermore, significant amounts of GHG emissions could be reduced. The reduction (during 2030) in NH 4 , N 2 O, and CO 2 emissions could be around 10.51%, 10%, and 6.86%, respectively.

中文翻译：

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巴勒斯坦电动汽车对未来能源和环境的影响

在过去的二十年中，交通部门出现了与高能耗和温室气体 (GHG) 排放相关的问题。因此，已经研究了几种替代方案，以减少对陆路运输方式使用的常规燃料的依赖。这些有前途的替代品之一是电动汽车 (EV)，它似乎是传统汽车的未来替代品。因此，考虑到目前电动汽车的百分比几乎为 0%，本研究旨在量化 2030 年巴勒斯坦电动汽车的能源和环境影响。在这项研究中，收集了与巴勒斯坦车辆数量和能源成本相关的所需参数。然后，考虑到在未来 10 年（2020-2030 年）内 10% 的传统车辆可能会被电动汽车取代，为了确定 2030 年电动汽车的能源和环境影响，已经开发了多种预测模型。结果表明，这可以在 2030 年（节省一年）期间节省 4.6431 亿美元的运营能源成本。更具体地说，这个数字几乎等于 2018 年巴勒斯坦国内生产总值 (GDP) 的 3.18%。此外，可以减少大量的温室气体排放。NH 4 、N 2 O 和CO 2 排放量的减少（2030 年期间）分别约为10.51%、10% 和6.86%。2030 年运营能源成本为 3100 万（节省一年）。更具体地说，这个数字几乎等于 2018 年巴勒斯坦国内生产总值 (GDP) 的 3.18%。此外，可以减少大量的温室气体排放。NH 4 、N 2 O 和CO 2 排放量的减少（2030 年期间）分别约为10.51%、10% 和6.86%。2030 年运营能源成本为 3100 万（节省一年）。更具体地说，这个数字几乎等于 2018 年巴勒斯坦国内生产总值 (GDP) 的 3.18%。此外，可以减少大量的温室气体排放。NH 4 、N 2 O 和CO 2 排放量的减少（2030 年期间）分别约为10.51%、10% 和6.86%。