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Dynamic dependence between ETFs and crude oil prices by using EGARCH-Copula approach
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications ( IF 2.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-07-04 , DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2020.124885
Muhammad Naeem , Zaghum Umar , Sheraz Ahmed , El Mehdi Ferrouhi

In this study, we examine the average and extreme dependence between Exchange Traded Funds ETFs (both energy & commodity) and WTI crude oil prices by using EGARCH-copula models. We use both static (Normal, Student-t, Gumbel and Clayton) and time-varying (Normal and SJC) copulas to explore both average and extreme dependence. Based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC), our results show that time-varying copulas outperform the static copulas. Further, we have found strong enough positive correlations of energy and commodity ETFs with oil prices to suggest that they could be used as a tool for managing oil price risk. Also, contrasting results of time-varying copulas with each other provide useful information regarding the hedge or safe-haven properties of energy and commodity ETFs.



中文翻译:

通过使用EGARCH-Copula方法,ETF与原油价格之间的动态相关性

在这项研究中,我们使用EGARCH-copula模型研究了交易所交易基金ETF(能源和商品)与WTI原油价格之间的平均和极端依赖性。我们同时使用静态(正常,学生t,Gumbel和Clayton)和时变(正常和SJC)copula来研究平均和极端依赖。基于Akaike信息准则(AIC),我们的结果表明,时变的copulas优于静态copulas。此外,我们发现能源和商品ETF与石油价格之间具有足够强的正相关性,表明它们可以用作管理石油价格风险的工具。同样,时变copula彼此之间的对比结果提供了有关能源和商品ETF的对冲或避险属性的有用信息。

更新日期:2020-07-04
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