While India becomes one of the largest carbon emitters in the world with a high emission growth rate, existing studies fail to capture the recent trends and the key driving factors behind it. Here, by using multiregional input‐output analysis and structural decomposition analysis, we measure the contribution of factors to the changes of India's domestic consumption and trade‐related emissions. This study finds that India's per capita consumption has a significant raising effect on India's consumption‐based emissions during 2000–2014; increasing coal proportion (especially in industry and electricity) and ineffective energy efficiency (especially in electricity) continuously push India's production‐based emissions upwards after 2003. Meanwhile, India's domestic industrial chain shows increasing and decreasing effects on domestic consumption and export‐related emissions after 2011, respectively. India's forward industrial chain always drives export‐related emissions upwards. In addition, the major contributor of final demand in domestic consumption emissions transfers from capital investment to household consumption after 2008, while the increasing power of services in export‐related emissions rapidly fades in the same period. India's climbing import‐related emissions embodied in final products shift to light industries, and the intermediate products shift to heavy industries and constructions over time.

中文翻译：

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从生产和消费的角度看印度排放的动态动力

尽管印度已成为世界上最大的碳排放国之一，其排放增长率很高，但现有研究未能捕捉到最新趋势及其背后的关键驱动因素。在这里，通过使用多区域投入产出分析和结构分解分析，我们测量了因素对印度国内消费和与贸易有关的排放变化的贡献。这项研究发现，印度的人均消费量在2000-2014年期间对印度的基于消费量的排放量有显着的提高作用。不断增加的煤炭比例（特别是在工业和电力方面）和无效的能源效率（尤其是在电力方面）持续推动印度在2003年之后的基于生产的排放量上升。2011年之后，其国内产业链分别显示出对国内消费和与出口有关的排放的增加和减少的影响。印度的前向产业链始终推动与出口有关的排放上升。此外，2008年之后，最终的国内消费排放需求的主要贡献者从资本投资转移到家庭消费，而服务业在与出口有关的排放中增长的动力在同一时期迅速消失。随着时间的推移，印度在最终产品中体现的与进口有关的排放量不断攀升转移到轻工业，而中间产品转移到重工业和建筑。最终需求的主要贡献者是国内消费排放，从2008年后的资本投资转移到家庭消费，而与此同时，与出口有关的排放中服务业增长的动力迅速消失。随着时间的推移，印度在最终产品中体现的与进口有关的排放量不断攀升转移到轻工业，而中间产品则转移到重工业和建筑。最终需求的主要贡献者是国内消费排放，从2008年后的资本投资转移到家庭消费，而与此同时，与出口有关的排放中服务业增长的动力迅速消失。随着时间的推移，印度在最终产品中体现的与进口有关的排放量不断攀升转移到了轻工业，而中间产品则转移到了重工业和建筑业。