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Multi-hazard dependencies can increase or decrease risk
Nature Climate Change ( IF 30.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-30 , DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0832-y
John K. Hillier , Tom Matthews , Robert L. Wilby , Conor Murphy

In risk analysis, it is recognized that hazards can often combine to worsen their joint impact, but impact data for a rail network show that hazards can also tend to be mutually exclusive at seasonal timescales. Ignoring this overestimates worst-case risk, so we therefore champion a broader view of risk from compound hazards.

中文翻译:

多危害依赖关系可以增加或减少风险

在风险分析中,人们认识到危害常常会合并在一起,从而加重其共同影响,但铁路网络的影响数据表明,在季节性时标上,危害也往往是互斥的。忽略这种情况会高估最坏情况的风险,因此,我们主张从更广泛的角度考虑复合危害的风险。
更新日期:2020-06-30
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