As Puerto Rico (‘PR’) makes long-term investments in the reconstruction of its built environment following Hurricanes Maria and Irma, a fundamental research question remains unanswered: who will benefit from these recovery and resilience efforts? The article presents 30-year demographic projections (2017–2047) that show current fiscal and infrastructure planning efforts overestimate the size and composition of the future PR populations who may be the direct and indirect beneficiaries of post-Hurricane recovery and resilience investments in the built environment. Our projections suggest long-term projected depopulation are inconsistently applied in the fiscal and infrastructure planning, shaping both recovery and resilience efforts. As PR moves forward with long-term plans and capital investments, consistently deployed, long-range population projections are critical for determining the optimal stewardship of public resources and as a check on the construction of a built environme...

中文翻译：

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对谁有弹性？波多黎各的人口变化和建筑环境的重建

随着波多黎各（“ PR”）在飓风玛丽亚（Murricanes Maria）和伊尔玛（Irma）之后对建筑环境的重建进行长期投资，一个基本的研究问题仍未得到解答：谁将从这些恢复和复原力工作中受益？本文介绍了30年的人口预测（2017年至2047年），这些预测表明当前的财政和基础设施规划工作高估了未来PR人口的规模和构成，他们可能是飓风过后恢复和复原力投资的直接或间接受益者。环境。我们的预测表明，在财政和基础设施规划中不一致地应用了预计的长期人口减少，从而影响了恢复和恢复力工作。随着PR不断制定长期计划和资本投资，