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Analytic solution of the SEIR epidemic model via asymptotic approximant.
Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena ( IF 2.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-25 , DOI: 10.1016/j.physd.2020.132633
Steven J Weinstein 1, 2 , Morgan S Holland 1 , Kelly E Rogers 1 , Nathaniel S Barlow 1
Affiliation  

An analytic solution is obtained to the SEIR Epidemic Model. The solution is created by constructing a single second-order nonlinear differential equation in lnS and analytically continuing its divergent power series solution such that it matches the correct long-time exponential damping of the epidemic model. This is achieved through an asymptotic approximant (Barlow et al., 2017) in the form of a modified symmetric Padé approximant that incorporates this damping. The utility of the analytical form is demonstrated through its application to the COVID-19 pandemic.



中文翻译:


SEIR 流行病模型的渐近近似解析解。



获得SEIR流行病模型的解析解。该解是通过构造一个二阶非线性微分方程来创建的S并分析继续其发散幂级数解,使其与流行病模型的正确的长期指数阻尼相匹配。这是通过渐近近似(Barlow et al., 2017)实现的,其形式是结合了这种阻尼的改进对称 Padé 近似。该分析形式的实用性通过其在 COVID-19 大流行中的应用得到了证明。

更新日期:2020-06-25
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