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Characteristics of southwest summer monsoon rainfall events over East India
Theoretical and Applied Climatology ( IF 2.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-14 , DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03251-y
Vasundhara Barde , M. M. Nageswararao , U. C. Mohanty , R. K. Panda , M. Ramadas

The variability in Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) has an immense socioeconomic impact on India, especially over the monsoon core region. In this study, a thorough analysis of the ISMR (June to September—JJAS) has been performed for East India (EI), a part of the monsoon core zone, and for its four subdivisions (Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, and Bihar). The long-term climatology, variability, and trends of various categorical rainfall events as defined by India Meteorological Department (IMD) have been analyzed by using IMD high-resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) gridded dataset for 116 years (1901–2016). Also, the percentage contribution of various rainfall events to the total seasonal rainfall and wet days is estimated. To get the changes in the frequency of various dry spells, rainfall events, and associated seasonal rainfall, study period is divided into two halves, earlier period (P1: 1901–1958) and recent period (P2: 1959–2016). The results suggest that the percentage contribution of medium-intensity rainfall events (7.6–64.4 mm/day) to the total ISMR is higher (~ 72%) followed by high-intensity rainfall events (~ 15%) and low-intensity rainfall events (12%), while most percentage contribution to the total number of wet days is from low-intensity rainfall events (~ 54%) followed by medium-intensity rainfall events (~ 43%) and high-intensity rainfall events (~ 3%). In the recent period (P2), the ISMR significantly decreased over the central part of EI because of the significant decrease in the frequency of low and medium-intensity rainfall events and wet days. The remarkable decrease of wet days leads to an increase in the short (1 week) and long-duration (> 2 week) dry spells in P2. And at the same time, high-intensity rainfall events significantly increased over EI in the recent period (P2) and led to an increase in the flood situation over this region. The profound relation of deficit rainfall of EI with ENSO is getting weak in the P2. This study is certainly useful in determining the effects on various sectors because of the variability and changes in various categorical extreme rainfall events, short and long-duration dry spells during summer monsoon time over EI. Also, this study may assist the risk management sectors in acclimating advanced technologies for a sustainable future in the changing climate of the present global warming era.



中文翻译:

东印度西南夏季风季风降水特征

印度夏季季风降雨量(ISMR)的变化对印度,特别是在季风核心地区,对社会经济产生巨大影响。在这项研究中,对季风核心区一部分的东印度(EI)及其四个分区(奥里萨邦,恰蒂斯加尔邦,贾坎德邦和比哈尔邦)的ISMR(6月至9月,JJAS)进行了全面分析。 。通过使用IMD高分辨率(0.25°×0.25°)网格数据集长达116年(1901–2016)的数据,分析了印度气象局(IMD)定义的各种类别降雨事件的长期气候,变异性和趋势。 。而且,估计了各种降雨事件对总的季节性降雨和湿天的百分比贡献。要获取各种干旱,降雨事件以及相关的季节性降雨的频率变化,研究期分为两个部分,早期(P1:1901-1958)和近期(P2:1959-2016)。结果表明,中等强度降雨事件(7.6–64.4 mm /天)占总ISMR的百分比较高(〜72%),其次是高强度降雨事件(〜15%)和低强度降雨事件(12%),而对湿天总数贡献最大的百分比是低强度降雨事件(〜54%),其次是中强度降雨事件(〜43%)和高强度降雨事件(〜3%) )。在最近时期(P2),由于中低强度降雨事件和潮湿天数的显着减少,在EI的中部ISMR显着下降。湿天的显着减少导致短期(1周)和持续时间(> 2周)在P2中干枯。同时,在最近时期(P2),高强度降雨事件在EI上显着增加,并导致该地区的洪灾情况增加。在P2中,EI与ENSO的赤字降水之间的深层关系越来越弱。由于各种极端的降雨事件,EI夏季风季风期间的短期和长期干旱期间的变化和变化,这项研究对于确定对各个部门的影响肯定是有用的。此外,本研究还可以帮助风险管理部门适应先进的技术,以在当前全球变暖时代不断变化的气候中实现可持续的未来。在最近时期(P2),高强度降雨事件在EI上显着增加,并导致该地区的洪灾情况增加。在P2中,EI与ENSO的赤字降水之间的深层关系越来越弱。由于各种极端的降雨事件,EI夏季风季风期间的短期和长期干旱期间的变化和变化,这项研究对于确定对各个部门的影响肯定是有用的。此外,本研究还可以帮助风险管理部门适应先进的技术,以在当前全球变暖时代不断变化的气候中实现可持续的未来。近期(P2),高强度降雨事件在EI上显着增加,并导致该地区的洪灾情况增加。在P2中,EI与ENSO的赤字降水之间的深层关系越来越弱。由于各种极端的降雨事件,EI夏季风季风期间的短期和长期干旱期间的变化和变化,这项研究对于确定对各个部门的影响肯定是有用的。此外,本研究还可以帮助风险管理部门适应先进的技术,以在当前全球变暖时代不断变化的气候中实现可持续的未来。由于各种极端的降雨事件,EI夏季风季风期间的短期和长期干旱期间的变化和变化,这项研究对于确定对各个部门的影响肯定是有用的。此外,本研究还可以帮助风险管理部门适应先进的技术,以在当前全球变暖时代不断变化的气候中实现可持续的未来。由于各种极端的降雨事件,EI夏季风季风期间的短期和长期干旱期间的变化和变化,这项研究对于确定对各个部门的影响肯定是有用的。此外,本研究还可以帮助风险管理部门适应先进的技术,以在当前全球变暖时代不断变化的气候中实现可持续的未来。

更新日期:2020-06-14
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