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Analysing the Combined Health, Social and Economic Impacts of the Corovanvirus Pandemic Using Agent-Based Social Simulation
Minds and Machines ( IF 4.2 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-01 , DOI: 10.1007/s11023-020-09527-6
Frank Dignum 1 , Virginia Dignum 1 , Paul Davidsson 2 , Amineh Ghorbani 3 , Mijke van der Hurk 4 , Maarten Jensen 1 , Christian Kammler 1 , Fabian Lorig 2 , Luis Gustavo Ludescher 1 , Alexander Melchior 4 , René Mellema 1 , Cezara Pastrav 1 , Loïs Vanhee 5 , Harko Verhagen 6
Affiliation  

During the COVID-19 crisis there have been many difficult decisions governments and other decision makers had to make. E.g. do we go for a total lock down or keep schools open? How many people and which people should be tested? Although there are many good models from e.g. epidemiologists on the spread of the virus under certain conditions, these models do not directly translate into the interventions that can be taken by government. Neither can these models contribute to understand the economic and/or social consequences of the interventions. However, effective and sustainable solutions need to take into account this combination of factors. In this paper, we propose an agent-based social simulation tool, ASSOCC, that supports decision makers understand possible consequences of policy interventions, but exploring the combined social, health and economic consequences of these interventions.

中文翻译:

使用基于代理的社会模拟分析冠状病毒大流行对健康、社会和经济的综合影响

在 COVID-19 危机期间,政府和其他决策者不得不做出许多艰难的决定。例如,我们是完全封锁还是保持学校开放?需要检测多少人和哪些人?尽管有许多来自流行病学家的关于特定条件下病毒传播的良好模型,但这些模型并不能直接转化为政府可以采取的干预措施。这些模型也不能有助于理解干预措施的经济和/或社会后果。然而,有效和可持续的解决方案需要考虑到这些因素的组合。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于代理的社会模拟工具 ASSOCC,它支持决策者了解政策干预的可能后果,但探索结合的社会、
更新日期:2020-06-01
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