Abstract This report discusses the consequences of the unfolding and deepening crisis in relations between Russia and Western countries, in particular with the United States of America. The author characterizes this period as a Cold War 2.0. There are some similarities and some differences between the new Cold War and the initial stage of tensions between the two countries in the 20th century. The differences include the absence of ideological conflict and the global rivalry of the two socio-economic systems. The specificity of the new Cold War consists in a sharp aggravation of propaganda, the resumption of economic war, and the practical absence of normal diplomatic contacts between the United States and its allies with the Russian Federation, as well as a renewed arms race. The author expresses particular concern about the situation in the field of arms control where the supporting pillars of the system, on which Russia and the United States had been working for half a century, continue to collapse one by one. The threat of nuclear war is becoming increasingly real. Special attention is paid to the correlation of the costs that Russia incurs in the military sphere in connection with the aggravated crisis in relations with Western countries and the spending on social development. Their correlation is presented in terms of macroeconomic indicators, data from sociological surveys, and expert assessments and indicates Russia’s lagging behind leading countries and its overstrain. The author comes to the conclusion that the new Cold War is leading to an increase in international tension and is strengthening long-term negative trends in the economic and social sphere of Russia.

中文翻译：

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新冷战：对俄罗斯社会的影响

摘要 本报告讨论了俄罗斯与西方国家，特别是美利坚合众国之间关系中不断发展和深化的危机的后果。作者将这一时期描述为冷战 2.0。新冷战与20世纪两国关系紧张的初始阶段，既有相同之处，也有不同之处。差异包括没有意识形态冲突以及两种社会经济体系的全球竞争。新冷战的特殊性在于宣传的急剧恶化、经济战的重启、美国及其盟友与俄罗斯联邦之间实际上缺乏正常的外交接触，以及重新开始军备竞赛。笔者对军控领域的情况表示特别关切，俄罗斯和美国在其上努力了半个世纪的体系的支柱继续一个个倒塌。核战争的威胁正变得越来越真实。特别关注俄罗斯在军事领域因与西方国家关系恶化危机而付出的代价与社会发展支出之间的相关性。它们的相关性体现在宏观经济指标、社会调查数据和专家评估方面，表明俄罗斯落后于领先国家及其过度紧张。