The current study examined the validity of the Child Pornography Offender Risk Tool (CPORT) in a sample of 304 men arrested in Spain for child pornography (CP) offenses, distinguishing between CP-exclusive offenders (n = 255) and CP offenders with other criminal involvement (n = 49). In our 5-year fixed follow-up analysis, we observed a 2.3% sexual recidivism rate for the whole sample (2.0% new CP offenses, 0.3% new contact sexual offenses). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses detected some relative predictive ability of the CPORT for CP recidivism outcomes when the Correlates of Admission of Sexual Interest in Children (CASIC) was used to replace missing CPORT Item 5. Specifically, both CPORT and CASIC total scores might help predict new CP offending among CP-exclusive offenders (area under the curve [AUC] = .57 and .70, respectively). Calibration analyses found that the observed recidivism rates were much lower than the expected recidivism rates presented by the tool developers, and, thus, suggest caution over the use of these norms for applied risk assessment. Our findings provide, to some extent, preliminary evidence of CPORT cross-cultural validity.

中文翻译：

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西班牙对儿童色情犯罪者风险工具的验证

目前的研究检查了儿童色情犯罪者风险工具 (CPORT) 在西班牙因儿童色情 (CP) 犯罪而被捕的 304 名男子的样本中的有效性，区分了 CP 专属罪犯 (n = 255) 和 CP 罪犯与其他刑事犯罪参与（n = 49）。在我们为期 5 年的固定随访分析中，我们观察到整个样本的性再犯率为 2.3%（2.0% 的新 CP 犯罪，0.3% 的新接触性犯罪）。接受者操作特征 (ROC) 分析检测到 CPORT 对 CP 累犯结果的一些相对预测能力，当使用儿童性兴趣入学相关性 (CASIC) 替换缺失的 CPORT 项目 5 时。 具体而言，CPORT 和 CASIC 总分可能帮助预测 CP 专属罪犯中新的 CP 犯罪（曲线下面积 [AUC] = .57 和 .70，分别）。校准分析发现，观察到的再犯率远低于工具开发人员提供的预期再犯率，因此，建议谨慎使用这些规范进行应用风险评估。我们的研究结果在某种程度上提供了 CPORT 跨文化有效性的初步证据。