This article recommends the development of broad policies of preclusion regarding the use of incarceration for offenders who are highly unlikely to commit a violent crime in the future. The proposal builds on the new Model Penal Code: Sentencing's provision on the limited utilitarian purposes of incarceration. Such low‐violence‐risk‐preclusion strategies (LVRPs) would stand on the most powerful predictive capabilities of today's risk assessment technology. If implemented properly, there is reason to believe that substantial drops in prison rates could be realized in most states. The preclusion groups would include defendants who should not be sent to prison or jail by sentencing judges even though the law allows for such penalties; those serving prison sentences who should be released by parole boards or other releasing authorities at the earliest opportunity; and probation and parole violators who should not be revoked to prison or jail. The strongest objection to the LVRP proposal is the fear of racial or other unacceptable biases in its apportionment of reduced‐incarceration benefits. Given current high levels of disproportionality in prison and jail populations, however, there is reason to think that the benefits of LVRP would be especially pronounced in disadvantaged communities.

中文翻译：

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在美国监狱政策中，低暴力风险排除在外的令人信服的案例。

本文建议针对在将来极不可能实施暴力犯罪的罪犯使用监禁制定广泛的排除政策。该提案建立在新的《刑法典典》上：关于监禁的有限功利目的的量刑条款。这样的低暴力风险排除策略（LVRP）将立足于当今风险评估技术最强大的预测能力。如果实施得当，我们有理由相信，在大多数州中，可以实现监狱费用的大幅下降。排除组将包括被告，即使法律允许这种处罚，也不应由量刑法官将其判入监狱；服刑期应尽快由假释委员会或其他释放当局释放的人；以及不应被判入狱的缓刑假释犯。反对LVRP提案的最强烈反对意见是担心种族歧视或其他无法接受的偏见，以分配减少的监禁福利。但是，考虑到当前监狱和监狱中人口比例失调的严重性，我们有理由认为，LVRP的好处在处境不利的社区中尤其明显。