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Factors influencing farmers’ adaptation strategies in confronting the drought in Iran
Environment, Development and Sustainability ( IF 4.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-04 , DOI: 10.1007/s10668-020-00798-8
Moslem Savari , Mohammad Shokati Amghani

While the literature on adaptation to drought has increasingly focused on investigating farmers’ understanding of drought, no comprehensive study has been conducted on behavior determinants and farmers’ adaptation strategies so far. To address this research gap, the current study was performed to investigate the effective factors and determinants on applying adaptation strategies by farmers in Iran. The statistical sample of the study included 430 farmers in East Azerbaijan province (located in northwest of Iran) selected through multistage sampling method. Study results after categorization of adaptation strategies (AS) first indicated that, the farmers under study suffer from a lack of high adaptation but in order to add more accuracy and grouping farmers’ strategies in drought condition, exploratory factor analysis was applied in which they were categorized as self-control, active and integrated strategies. Next, structural equation modeling was adopted to study the effective factors on applying AS by farmers confronted with the drought. The results showed that, social, environmental, infrastructure, and economic factors exert a positively significant effect on selecting the AS whereas, human-related factors were proved to have an insignificant effect on adopting the AS. The results associated with structural equations indicated that, effective factors account for 93.3% of variance in application of AS which is a highly considerable rate. Indeed, these results revealed high importance of social factor, environmental factor, infrastructure factor and economic factors in applying the AS among the farmers. Therefore, our findings offered solutions as to how to reduce risks in farmers’ activities during drought conditions to improve adaptation behavior of Iranian farmers.

中文翻译:

伊朗应对干旱影响农民适应策略的因素

虽然关于适应干旱的文献越来越多地关注调查农民对干旱的理解,但迄今为止还没有对行为决定因素和农民的适应策略进行全面研究。为了弥补这一研究空白,本研究旨在调查伊朗农民应用适应策略的有效因素和决定因素。该研究的统计样本包括通过多阶段抽样方法选择的东阿塞拜疆省(位于伊朗西北部)的 430 名农民。适应策略(AS)分类后的研究结果首先表明,被研究的农民缺乏高度适应,但为了增加干旱条件下农民策略的准确性和分组,应用探索性因素分析,将它们归类为自我控制、主动和综合策略。其次,采用结构方程模型研究了面临干旱的农民应用AS的影响因素。结果表明,社会、环境、基础设施和经济因素对选择 AS 有显着的正向影响,而人为因素对采用 AS 的影响不显着。与结构方程相关的结果表明,在AS应用中,有效因素占方差的93.3%,这是一个非常可观的比例。事实上,这些结果揭示了社会因素、环境因素、基础设施因素和经济因素在农民中应用 AS 的高度重要性。所以,
更新日期:2020-06-04
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