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Investigating the predictive validity of Static-99/99R scores in a sample of older sexual offenders
Psychiatry, Psychology and Law ( IF 1.4 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-02 , DOI: 10.1080/13218719.2020.1767714
Beatrice C Raymond 1 , Troy E McEwan 1 , Michael R Davis 1, 2, 3 , Sophie G Reeves 4 , James R P Ogloff 1, 2
Affiliation  

There is limited information regarding the use of risk assessment tools with aging offender populations. It is known that the likelihood of offending behaviour decreases with age, a small group of men either continue or begin to offend sexually in the later decades of life. The current study investigated the predictive validity of the Static-99 and the Static-99R, in a sample of convicted Australian sex offenders aged 50 and older. A sample of 118 participants was identified, of which 17 (14.4%) re-offended within a follow-up period ranging from four months to 20 years (M = 9.07 years). There were seven recidivists (13.46%) above the age of 60 years (n = 52) and 10 aged 40 to 59.9 years (n = 66). Both the Static-99 and Static-99R demonstrated moderate predictive validity with both age groups. The limitations of this study are discussed as well as recommendations for future research.



中文翻译:

在老年性犯罪者样本中调查 Static-99/99R 分数的预测有效性

关于对老龄化罪犯群体使用风险评估工具的信息有限。众所周知,冒犯行为的可能性随着年龄的增长而降低,一小部分男性在生命的后期要么继续或开始进行性冒犯。当前的研究调查了 Static-99 和 Static-99R 的预测有效性,样本是 50 岁及以上的澳大利亚性犯罪者。确定了 118 名参与者的样本,其中 17 人(14.4%)在四个月至 20 年(M = 9.07 年)的随访期内再次犯罪。60 岁以上(n = 52)7 名(13.46%),40 至 59.9 岁(n = 66)10 名。Static-99 和 Static-99R 对两个年龄组均表现出中等的预测有效性。

更新日期:2020-06-02
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