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Implementation of Major Investment Projects and Population Changes in Municipalities of the Baikal Region
Geography and Natural Resources ( IF 0.3 ) Pub Date : 2019-10-01 , DOI: 10.1134/s1875372819040115
I. A. Dets

An analysis is made of the investments in fixed capital at the regional and municipal level in Irkutsk oblast, the Republic of Buryatia and Zabaikalskii krai. On the basis of the average indicators considered, the conclusion is drawn about the general lag of the Baikal region from Siberia and Russia over the course of the last several decades. Population changes in municipal districts and urban districts have been analyzed to show a general decrease of the indicator in most of the study areas. The indicators of average annual investments in fixed capital and average annual per capita investments are calculated. It is suggested that the municipalities of the Baikal region should be ranked according to the indicators of population change and per capita investments in fixed capital in order to estimate the relationship of these characteristics. The group has been identified, which had the highest indicators for the period under consideration with a consistently high loss of the permanent population. It is determined that the municipalities with the highest population growth did not have a high level of per capita investment. It is shown that most of them refer to the largest group in which the territories had low levels of per capita investment and did not show any stable population growth. The study revealed no correlation between the implementation of major investment projects of resource development and changes in the population dynamics of the remote territories, which is confirmed by cartographic material presented. It is concluded that there is no influence of the main investments on the structure of the economy of the Baikal region and the consolidation of the existing raw material specialization. An assessment is made of the existing federal target programs focused mainly on stimulating territorial development through the provision of comprehensive support of implementation of the major investment projects.

中文翻译:

贝加尔湖地区各市重大投资项目实施与人口变化

对伊尔库茨克州、布里亚特共和国和后贝加尔斯基边区的地区和市级固定资本投资进行了分析。根据所考虑的平均指标,得出结论,贝加尔湖地区在过去几十年中与西伯利亚和俄罗斯之间的总体滞后。对市辖区和市区的人口变化进行了分析,表明大多数研究区域的指标普遍下降。计算年均固定资本投资指标和年均人均投资指标。建议根据人口变化和人均固定资本投资指标对贝加尔湖地区各市进行排名,以估计这些特征之间的关系。该群体已被确定,其在所审议期间的指标最高,常住人口流失率始终居高不下。确定人口增长率最高的直辖市人均投资水平并不高。结果表明,它们中的大多数是指人均投资水平低且人口没有任何稳定增长的最大群体。研究表明,资源开发重大投资项目的实施与偏远地区人口动态变化之间没有相关性,所提供的制图材料证实了这一点。得出的结论是,主要投资对贝加尔湖地区经济结构和现有原材料专业化的巩固没有影响。对现有的联邦目标计划进行了评估,主要侧重于通过为重大投资项目的实施提供全面支持来刺激领土发展。
更新日期:2019-10-01
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