Abstract

Time series of multiyear average temperature, obtained at 927 Northern Hemisphere weather stations for the period 1955–2014, are compared with the known data on astronomical insolation for the same time interval and location. It is shown that the annually averaged astronomical insolation as a function of latitude, subject to linear transformation, should be considered as the average latitudinal temperature. This result is justified using a regression of the compared data and by grouping meteorological stations. Our estimates of the increment of the average latitudinal temperature in the period 1985–2014 as compared with those in 1955–1984, as well as the contribution to the temperature variations from the components determined by astronomical insolation and by stochastic processes in the geosphere, do not contradict the well-known estimates, which verifies the introduced linear transformation of astronomical insolation.

中文翻译：

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天文学日照线性变换确定平均纬向温度

摘要

将在1955年至2014年期间在927个北半球气象站获得的多年平均温度的时间序列与相同时间间隔和位置的已知天文学资料进行比较。结果表明，年平均天文学日数随纬度的变化（经过线性变换）应被视为平均纬度温度。使用比较数据的回归和对气象站进行分组可以证明这一结果是合理的。我们估算了1985-2014年与1955-1984年相比的平均纬向温度增量，以及由天文学日照和地层随机过程确定的分量对温度变化的贡献，与众所周知的估计不矛盾，